Prediction: Bangor FC (W) vs Ballymena Utd (W)
Expected goals: 3.92 (Bangor FC (W) 2.95 · Ballymena Utd (W) 0.97). The model gives 77% home, 14% draw, 9% away. Under 4.25 goals (55%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 2-0.
Recent form leaves Bangor FC (W) with 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Ballymena Utd (W) has piled up 1-3-6 in the same span. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Bangor FC (W) won 2 and Ballymena Utd (W) 2.
| Bangor FC (W) | Draw | Ballymena Utd (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| Market | 78% | 13% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bangor FC (W) (rating 1562 vs 1454).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bangor FC (W) | Ballymena Utd (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.7 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/0/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.4 | 1.1 / 2.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0 | 1.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bangor FC (W) 2–0–2 Ballymena Utd (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/26 Northern Ireland Championship Women | Ballymena Utd (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Bangor FC (W) |
| 13/08/25 Northern Ireland Championship Women | Bangor FC (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Ballymena Utd (W) |
| 07/05/25 Northern Ireland Championship Women | Ballymena Utd (W) | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Bangor FC (W) |
| 19/05/24 Northern Ireland Championship Women | Bangor FC (W) | 6-1 HT 3-0 | Ballymena Utd (W) |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bangor FC (W) | Ballymena Utd (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Ballymoney United (W) | 6-1 W | 2-4 L |
| Strabane Athletic (W) | 5-3 W | 2-0 W |
| Ballyclare Comrades (W) | 4-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Mid Ulster (W) | 7-0 W | 0-0 D |
| St. James Swifts (W) | 1-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Sion Swifts (W) | 1-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Bangor FC (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bangor FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Ballymoney United (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 6-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 17/06 | Strabane Athletic (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-0 | 5-3 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 03/06 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 13/05 | Mid Ulster (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
3-0 | 7-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 06/05 | St. James Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 29/04 | Sion Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 22/04 | Greenisland (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 15/04 | Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 08/04 | Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/03 | Strabane Athletic (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
Ballymena Utd (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland County Antrim Shield Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 24/06 | Strabane Athletic (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 17/06 | Ballymoney United (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/06 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland Cup Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 22/05 | Mid Ulster (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 13/05 | St. James Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 06/05 | Sion Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 08/04 | Bangor FC (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 25/03 | Ballymoney United (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 03/09 | Sion Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bangor FC (W) vs Ballymena Utd (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bangor FC (W) win (77%). Probabilities: Bangor FC (W) 77%, draw 14%, Ballymena Utd (W) 9%.
How many goals are expected in Bangor FC (W) vs Ballymena Utd (W)?
The model expects 3.92 goals (Bangor FC (W) 2.95 · Ballymena Utd (W) 0.97), with a 55% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Bangor FC (W) vs Ballymena Utd (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.