Prediction: Ballymoney United (W) vs Greenisland (W)
Expected goals: 4.21 (Ballymoney United (W) 1.71 · Greenisland (W) 2.5). The model gives 26% home, 19% draw, 55% away. Under 4.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (62%). Most likely score: 1-2.
On recent form, Ballymoney United (W) is 4-1-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Greenisland (W) 7-0-3 over its own. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for Ballymoney United (W) and 2 for Greenisland (W), with 1 draw.
| Ballymoney United (W) | Draw | Greenisland (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 20% | 54% |
| Market | 26% | 19% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Greenisland (W) (rating 1479 vs 1540).
- H2H favours Greenisland (W): 2-1-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ballymoney United (W) | Greenisland (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 3.1 | 2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.4 | 2.5 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0.1 | 0.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ballymoney United (W) 0–1–2 Greenisland (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/26 Northern Ireland Championship Women | Greenisland (W) | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Ballymoney United (W) |
| 06/08/25 Northern Ireland Championship Women | Ballymoney United (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Greenisland (W) |
| 30/04/25 Northern Ireland Championship Women | Greenisland (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Ballymoney United (W) |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ballymoney United (W) | Greenisland (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Bangor FC (W) | 1-6 L | 1-4 L |
| Craigavon City (W) | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Strabane Athletic (W) | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Ballyclare Comrades (W) | 1-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Mid Ulster (W) | 6-3 W | 3-0 W |
| St. James Swifts (W) | 1-5 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Greenisland (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ballymoney United (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Bangor FC (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-6 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 26/06 | Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 17/06 | Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/06 | Strabane Athletic (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 13/05 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-4 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 29/04 | Mid Ulster (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-2 | 6-3 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/04 | St. James Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/04 | Sion Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-6 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 08/04 | Greenisland (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 25/03 | Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
Greenisland (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 03/06 | St. James Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 06/05 | Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 22/04 | Bangor FC (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 15/04 | Strabane Athletic (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 08/04 | Ballymoney United (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 01/04 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 08/09 | Mid Ulster (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 27/08 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
3-1 | 4-3 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 11/08 | St. James Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ballymoney United (W) vs Greenisland (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Greenisland (W) win (55%). Probabilities: Ballymoney United (W) 26%, draw 19%, Greenisland (W) 55%.
How many goals are expected in Ballymoney United (W) vs Greenisland (W)?
The model expects 4.21 goals (Ballymoney United (W) 1.71 · Greenisland (W) 2.5), with a 53% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ballymoney United (W) vs Greenisland (W)?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.