Prediction: Mid Ulster (W) vs Sion Swifts (W)
Expected goals: 4.95 (Mid Ulster (W) 1.47 · Sion Swifts (W) 3.47). The model gives 7% home, 9% draw, 84% away. Under 5.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (62%). Most likely score: 1-3.
Over its last 10 matches, Mid Ulster (W) sits at 1-2-7 (W-D-L), while Sion Swifts (W) arrives on a 9-0-1 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Mid Ulster (W) won 0 and Sion Swifts (W) 5, with 1 draw.
| Mid Ulster (W) | Draw | Sion Swifts (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 12% | 14% | 74% |
| Market | 3% | 6% | 91% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sion Swifts (W) (rating 1414 vs 1617).
- H2H favours Sion Swifts (W): 5-1-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mid Ulster (W) | Sion Swifts (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 3.3 | 4.6 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.5 | 1.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 80/10/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3 | 3.4 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0 | 1.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mid Ulster (W) 0–1–5 Sion Swifts (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/26 Northern Ireland Championship Women | Sion Swifts (W) | 6-1 HT 2-1 | Mid Ulster (W) |
| 16/06/25 Northern Ireland Championship Women | Mid Ulster (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sion Swifts (W) |
| 13/10/23 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Sion Swifts (W) | 5-2 HT 4-0 | Mid Ulster (W) |
| 21/06/23 Northern Ireland League Cup Women | Sion Swifts (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Mid Ulster (W) |
| 26/10/22 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Mid Ulster (W) | 1-5 HT 0-1 | Sion Swifts (W) |
| 10/08/22 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Mid Ulster (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Sion Swifts (W) |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mid Ulster (W) | Sion Swifts (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Craigavon City (W) | 0-1 L | 6-0 W |
| Ballymena Utd (W) | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Bangor FC (W) | 0-7 L | 4-1 W |
| Ballymoney United (W) | 3-6 L | 6-0 W |
| St. James Swifts (W) | 1-4 L | 3-5 L |
| Ballyclare Comrades (W) | 1-0 W | 6-1 W |
| Greenisland (W) | 0-3 L | 6-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 6 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Sion Swifts (W) (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mid Ulster (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06 | Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 13/05 | Bangor FC (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-3 | 0-7 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Strabane Athletic (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 29/04 | Ballymoney United (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-1 | 3-6 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | St. James Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/03 | Sion Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-2 | 1-6 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 12/09 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 08/09 | Greenisland (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 03/09 | St. James Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
Sion Swifts (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05 | Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 06/05 | Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 29/04 | Bangor FC (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 15/04 | Ballymoney United (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 6-0 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 25/03 | Mid Ulster (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-1 | 6-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 10/09 | St. James Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-3 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 03/09 | Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/08 | Bangor FC (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 06/08 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
3-0 | 6-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 23/07 | Greenisland (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-1 | 6-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mid Ulster (W) vs Sion Swifts (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sion Swifts (W) win (84%). Probabilities: Mid Ulster (W) 7%, draw 9%, Sion Swifts (W) 84%.
How many goals are expected in Mid Ulster (W) vs Sion Swifts (W)?
The model expects 4.95 goals (Mid Ulster (W) 1.47 · Sion Swifts (W) 3.47), with a 53% chance of under 5.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Mid Ulster (W) vs Sion Swifts (W)?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.