Football · Colombia Liga Femenina · 25/07, 22:00
Prediction: Atletico Bucaramanga (W) vs Llaneros (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
Atletico Bucaramanga (W)1.14
Llaneros (W)1.39
1X2
Atletico Bucaramanga (W)
Draw
Llaneros (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Bucaramanga (W)
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Llaneros (W)
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico Bucaramanga (W)
0–2
Llaneros (W)
(2 last)
- Llaneros (W)2-1Atletico Bucaramanga (W)
- Atletico Bucaramanga (W)0-2Llaneros (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atletico Bucaramanga (W) 1430 · Llaneros (W) 1452
| Atletico Bucaramanga (W) | Draw | Llaneros (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 29% | 41% |
| Market | 30% | 29% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Llaneros (W): 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Bucaramanga (W) | Llaneros (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2.4 | 0.7 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.4 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Bucaramanga (W) 0–0–2 Llaneros (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/23 Colombia Liga Femenina | Llaneros (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Atletico Bucaramanga (W) |
| 26/02/22 Colombia Liga Femenina | Atletico Bucaramanga (W) | 0-2 | Llaneros (W) |
Standings · Colombia Liga Femenina
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Cali (W) | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 6 | 35 |
| 2 | Atletico Nacional (W) | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 5 | 33 |
| 3 | America de Cali (W) | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
| 4 | Millonarios (W) | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 25 |
| 6 | Internacional de Bogota (W) | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 22 |
| 7 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 21 |
| 8 | Independiente Medellin (W) | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | Orsomarso (W) | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 15 |
| 10 | Fortaleza CEIF (W) | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 13 |
| 11 | Llaneros (W) | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 13 |
| 12 | Junior (W) | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 11 |
| 13 | Atletico Bucaramanga (W) | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 8 |
| 14 | Once Caldas (W) | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 7 |
| 15 | CD Real Santander (W) | 13 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 7 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pasto (W) | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 24 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Bucaramanga (W) | Llaneros (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Cali (W) | 1-4 L | 0-5 L |
| Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Independiente Medellin (W) | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| CD Real Santander (W) | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Internacional de Bogota (W) | 0-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Orsomarso (W) | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Millonarios (W) | 0-6 L | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Llaneros (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Bucaramanga (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05 | Fortaleza CEIF (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 20/05 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 15/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 10/05 | Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | CD Real Santander (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 27/04 | Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 31/03 | Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-2 | 0-6 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 21/03 | Atletico Nacional (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 18/03 | Deportivo Pasto (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
Llaneros (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 22/05 | Once Caldas (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 15/05 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 08/05 | Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Junior (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 30/03 | CD Real Santander (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 25/03 | Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 15/03 | Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Bucaramanga (W) vs Llaneros (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Llaneros (W) win (41%). Probabilities: Atletico Bucaramanga (W) 30%, draw 29%, Llaneros (W) 41%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Bucaramanga (W) vs Llaneros (W)?
The model expects 2.53 goals (Atletico Bucaramanga (W) 1.14 · Llaneros (W) 1.39), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Bucaramanga (W) vs Llaneros (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.