Football · Colombia Liga Femenina · 02/08, 22:00

Prediction: Once Caldas (W) vs Internacional FC de Palmira (W)

Team pages: Once Caldas (W) · Internacional FC de Palmira (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.98Total

Once Caldas (W)0.74

Internacional FC de Palmira (W)1.25

1X2

22% 30% 48%

Once Caldas (W) Draw Internacional FC de Palmira (W)

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-1

Recent form · 10 last

Once Caldas (W) 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLWDLDDL

Internacional FC de Palmira (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWLWDLWLLD

Head-to-head

Once Caldas (W) 0–1 Internacional FC de Palmira (W) (1 last)

Internacional FC de Palmira (W)1-0Once Caldas (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Once Caldas (W) 1435 · Internacional FC de Palmira (W) 1482

	Once Caldas (W)	Draw	Internacional FC de Palmira (W)
Our model	21%	32%	47%
Market	22%	29%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 1.98 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Internacional FC de Palmira (W) (rating 1435 vs 1482).
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Once Caldas (W)	Internacional FC de Palmira (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 1.5	0.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.6	1.1 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.4	4.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.00

X3.10

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:33 +8’	4.00	3.10	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Once Caldas (W) 0–0–1 Internacional FC de Palmira (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/03/25 Colombia Liga Femenina	Internacional FC de Palmira (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Once Caldas (W)

Standings · Colombia Liga Femenina

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional (W)	14	12	0	2	28	6	36
2	Deportivo Cali (W)	14	11	2	1	30	6	35
3	Millonarios (W)	14	8	5	1	28	7	29
4	America de Cali (W)	14	9	2	3	22	7	29
5	Independiente Santa Fe (W)	14	7	4	3	23	10	25
6	Internacional de Bogota (W)	14	8	1	5	20	14	25
7	Internacional FC de Palmira (W)	14	6	4	4	13	16	22
8	Independiente Medellin (W)	15	6	1	8	21	19	19
9	Orsomarso (W)	14	3	7	4	14	14	16
10	Fortaleza CEIF (W)	15	4	4	7	10	19	16
11	Llaneros (W)	14	3	4	7	9	24	13
12	Junior (W)	14	2	6	6	11	21	12
13	Atletico Bucaramanga (W)	14	3	2	9	12	33	11
14	CD Real Santander (W)	14	1	7	6	4	19	10
15	Once Caldas (W)	14	1	4	9	6	23	7
16	Deportivo Pasto (W)	14	1	3	10	12	25	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Once Caldas (W)	Internacional FC de Palmira (W)
Llaneros (W)	0-0 D	0-2 L
Atletico Nacional (W)	0-1 L	0-1 L
Orsomarso (W)	1-1 D	1-1 D
Deportivo Cali (W)	0-2 L	1-0 W
America de Cali (W)	1-2 L	0-5 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Once Caldas (W) (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Once Caldas (W)

LLLLWDLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Deportivo Pasto (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	1-3	1-4	5	4	L
28/05	CD Real Santander (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
22/05	Llaneros (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
16/05	Atletico Nacional (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-0	0-1	0	7	L
11/05	Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
04/05	Deportivo Pasto (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
28/04	Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-3	0-3	2	3	L
15/04	Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-0	0-2	3	7	L
30/03	Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	1-2	1-2	2	9	L
22/03	America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	1-1	1-2	5	6	L

Internacional FC de Palmira (W)

DWLWDLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
29/05	America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-3	0-5	2	7	L
23/05	Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-1	0-2	1	5	L
15/05	Atletico Bucaramanga (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	1-0	1-0	2	8	W
11/05	Atletico Nacional (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
03/05	Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
23/04	Fortaleza CEIF (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-0	3-1	3	5	W
12/04	Llaneros (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
29/03	Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
22/03	Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	1-0	1-1	1	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Once Caldas (W) vs Internacional FC de Palmira (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Internacional FC de Palmira (W) win (48%). Probabilities: Once Caldas (W) 22%, draw 30%, Internacional FC de Palmira (W) 48%.

How many goals are expected in Once Caldas (W) vs Internacional FC de Palmira (W)?

The model expects 1.98 goals (Once Caldas (W) 0.74 · Internacional FC de Palmira (W) 1.25), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Once Caldas (W) vs Internacional FC de Palmira (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.