Football · Colombia Liga Femenina · 01/08, 22:00
Prediction: Atletico Nacional (W) vs Deportivo Cali (W)
Team pages: Atletico Nacional (W) · Deportivo Cali (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.08Total
Atletico Nacional (W)1.15
Deportivo Cali (W)0.92
1X2
Atletico Nacional (W)
Draw
Deportivo Cali (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Nacional (W)
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Cali (W)
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico Nacional (W)
0–3–3
Deportivo Cali (W)
(6 last)
- Atletico Nacional (W)1-2Deportivo Cali (W)
- Deportivo Cali (W)1-1Atletico Nacional (W)
- Atletico Nacional (W)0-2Deportivo Cali (W)
- Atletico Nacional (W)1-1Deportivo Cali (W)
- Deportivo Cali (W)1-1Atletico Nacional (W)
- Deportivo Cali (W)4-1Atletico Nacional (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atletico Nacional (W) 1591 · Deportivo Cali (W) 1605
| Atletico Nacional (W) | Draw | Deportivo Cali (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 33% | 28% |
| Market | 41% | 31% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportivo Cali (W): 3-3-0.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Nacional (W) | Deportivo Cali (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.4 | 2.2 / 0.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.7 | 3.3 / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Nacional (W) 0–3–3 Deportivo Cali (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | Atletico Nacional (W) | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Cali (W) |
| 03/09/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | Deportivo Cali (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Atletico Nacional (W) |
| 24/05/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | Atletico Nacional (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Cali (W) |
| 14/04/24 Colombia Liga Femenina | Atletico Nacional (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Cali (W) |
| 12/03/23 Colombia Liga Femenina | Deportivo Cali (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Atletico Nacional (W) |
| 25/04/22 Colombia Liga Femenina | Deportivo Cali (W) | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Atletico Nacional (W) |
Standings · Colombia Liga Femenina
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional (W) | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
| 2 | Deportivo Cali (W) | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 6 | 35 |
| 3 | Millonarios (W) | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 29 |
| 4 | America de Cali (W) | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
| 5 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 10 | 25 |
| 6 | Internacional de Bogota (W) | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 14 | 25 |
| 7 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 22 |
| 8 | Independiente Medellin (W) | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 19 |
| 9 | Orsomarso (W) | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 16 |
| 10 | Fortaleza CEIF (W) | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 13 |
| 11 | Llaneros (W) | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 13 |
| 12 | Junior (W) | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 12 |
| 13 | Atletico Bucaramanga (W) | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 11 |
| 14 | CD Real Santander (W) | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 10 |
| 15 | Once Caldas (W) | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 7 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pasto (W) | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 25 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Nacional (W) | Deportivo Cali (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Pasto (W) | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Once Caldas (W) | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| CD Real Santander (W) | 5-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Junior (W) | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Atletico Bucaramanga (W) | 2-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 0 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Cali (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Nacional (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 29/05 | Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Pasto (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Once Caldas (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 11/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | CD Real Santander (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 30/03 | Junior (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | Atletico Bucaramanga (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
Deportivo Cali (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 29/05 | Deportivo Pasto (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 20/05 | Atletico Bucaramanga (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | Llaneros (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | CD Real Santander (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/04 | Junior (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 15/04 | Once Caldas (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 29/03 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 23/03 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Nacional (W) vs Deportivo Cali (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Nacional (W) win (40%). Probabilities: Atletico Nacional (W) 40%, draw 32%, Deportivo Cali (W) 28%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Nacional (W) vs Deportivo Cali (W)?
The model expects 2.08 goals (Atletico Nacional (W) 1.15 · Deportivo Cali (W) 0.92), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Nacional (W) vs Deportivo Cali (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.