Football · Colombia Liga Femenina · 03/08, 03:15
Prediction: America de Cali (W) vs Llaneros (W)
Team pages: America de Cali (W) · Llaneros (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.01Total
America de Cali (W)2.51
Llaneros (W)0.51
1X2
America de Cali (W)
Draw
Llaneros (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
America de Cali (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Llaneros (W)
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
America de Cali (W)
3–1
Llaneros (W)
(4 last)
- America de Cali (W)3-1Llaneros (W)
- Llaneros (W)1-0America de Cali (W)
- America de Cali (W)1-0Llaneros (W)
- Llaneros (W)0-3America de Cali (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · America de Cali (W) 1533 · Llaneros (W) 1449
| America de Cali (W) | Draw | Llaneros (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 80% | 15% | 5% |
| Market | 85% | 11% | 4% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.01 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours America de Cali (W) (rating 1533 vs 1449).
- H2H favours America de Cali (W): 3-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| America de Cali (W) | Llaneros (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/90/0% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.4 | 1.3 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · America de Cali (W) 3–0–1 Llaneros (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/24 Colombia Liga Femenina | America de Cali (W) | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Llaneros (W) |
| 23/06/24 Colombia Liga Femenina | Llaneros (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | America de Cali (W) |
| 11/02/23 Colombia Liga Femenina | America de Cali (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Llaneros (W) |
| 24/04/22 Colombia Liga Femenina | Llaneros (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | America de Cali (W) |
Standings · Colombia Liga Femenina
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional (W) | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
| 2 | Deportivo Cali (W) | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 6 | 35 |
| 3 | Millonarios (W) | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 29 |
| 4 | America de Cali (W) | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
| 5 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 10 | 25 |
| 6 | Internacional de Bogota (W) | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 14 | 25 |
| 7 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 22 |
| 8 | Independiente Medellin (W) | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 19 | 19 |
| 9 | Orsomarso (W) | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 16 |
| 10 | Fortaleza CEIF (W) | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 16 |
| 11 | Llaneros (W) | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 13 |
| 12 | Junior (W) | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 12 |
| 13 | Atletico Bucaramanga (W) | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 11 |
| 14 | CD Real Santander (W) | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 10 |
| 15 | Once Caldas (W) | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 7 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pasto (W) | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 25 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | America de Cali (W) | Llaneros (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Cali (W) | 0-1 L | 0-5 L |
| Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | 5-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Internacional de Bogota (W) | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Millonarios (W) | 0-0 D | 0-4 L |
| CD Real Santander (W) | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 1-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Once Caldas (W) | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: America de Cali (W) (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
America de Cali (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 29/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 23/05 | Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 18/05 | Deportivo Pasto (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 11/05 | Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 23/04 | CD Real Santander (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | Fortaleza CEIF (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 28/03 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | Once Caldas (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
Llaneros (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Atletico Bucaramanga (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 28/05 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 22/05 | Once Caldas (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 15/05 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 08/05 | Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Junior (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 30/03 | CD Real Santander (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 25/03 | Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in America de Cali (W) vs Llaneros (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a America de Cali (W) win (83%). Probabilities: America de Cali (W) 83%, draw 13%, Llaneros (W) 5%.
How many goals are expected in America de Cali (W) vs Llaneros (W)?
The model expects 3.01 goals (America de Cali (W) 2.51 · Llaneros (W) 0.51), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in America de Cali (W) vs Llaneros (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.