Football · Colombia Liga Femenina · 03/08, 23:00

Prediction: Junior (W) vs Atletico Bucaramanga (W)

Team pages: Junior (W) · Atletico Bucaramanga (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

Junior (W)1.75

Atletico Bucaramanga (W)0.94

1X2

56% 26% 19%

Junior (W) Draw Atletico Bucaramanga (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Junior (W) 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DLWLLDDDLD

Atletico Bucaramanga (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLDLWLLLLW

Head-to-head

Junior (W) 3–0 Atletico Bucaramanga (W) (3 last)

Junior (W)1-0Atletico Bucaramanga (W)
Atletico Bucaramanga (W)0-2Junior (W)
Junior (W)4-0Atletico Bucaramanga (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Junior (W) 1461 · Atletico Bucaramanga (W) 1438

	Junior (W)	Draw	Atletico Bucaramanga (W)
Our model	55%	26%	19%
Market	56%	26%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Junior (W): 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Junior (W)	Atletico Bucaramanga (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.5	0.8 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 4.1	1.2 / 1.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.50

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
18:32 +23’	1.61	3.50	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Junior (W) 3–0–0 Atletico Bucaramanga (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/25 Colombia Liga Femenina	Junior (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Atletico Bucaramanga (W)
29/04/23 Colombia Liga Femenina	Atletico Bucaramanga (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Junior (W)
31/03/22 Colombia Liga Femenina	Junior (W)	4-0 HT 3-0	Atletico Bucaramanga (W)

Standings · Colombia Liga Femenina

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Cali (W)	15	12	2	1	32	7	38
2	Atletico Nacional (W)	15	12	0	3	29	8	36
3	Millonarios (W)	14	8	5	1	28	7	29
4	America de Cali (W)	14	9	2	3	22	7	29
5	Independiente Santa Fe (W)	14	7	4	3	23	10	25
6	Internacional de Bogota (W)	14	8	1	5	20	14	25
7	Internacional FC de Palmira (W)	14	6	4	4	13	16	22
8	Independiente Medellin (W)	15	6	1	8	21	19	19
9	Orsomarso (W)	15	4	7	4	15	14	19
10	Fortaleza CEIF (W)	15	4	4	7	10	19	16
11	Llaneros (W)	14	3	4	7	9	24	13
12	Junior (W)	14	2	6	6	11	21	12
13	Atletico Bucaramanga (W)	14	3	2	9	12	33	11
14	CD Real Santander (W)	15	1	7	7	4	20	10
15	Once Caldas (W)	14	1	4	9	6	23	7
16	Deportivo Pasto (W)	14	1	3	10	12	25	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Junior (W)	Atletico Bucaramanga (W)
Millonarios (W)	0-0 D	0-6 L
Orsomarso (W)	1-5 L	1-1 D
Fortaleza CEIF (W)	0-0 D	1-2 L
CD Real Santander (W)	1-1 D	2-0 W
Llaneros (W)	1-2 L	3-0 W
Deportivo Cali (W)	0-2 L	1-4 L
Independiente Medellin (W)	3-2 W	0-3 L
Atletico Nacional (W)	1-2 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Junior (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Junior (W)

DLWLLDDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
29/05	Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-2	1-5	6	5	L
24/05	Fortaleza CEIF (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
16/05	CD Real Santander (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
11/05	Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
01/05	Llaneros (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-1	1-2	7	2	L
23/04	Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-0	0-2	1	5	L
16/04	Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	1-1	3-2	6	5	W
30/03	Atletico Nacional (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	1-0	1-2	1	3	L
22/03	Deportivo Pasto (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-0	0-0	1	5	D

Atletico Bucaramanga (W)

LLDLWLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Llaneros (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	1-0	3-0	5	1	W
29/05	Fortaleza CEIF (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-1	1-2	1	6	L
20/05	Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	1-1	1-4	0	6	L
15/05	Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-1	0-1	3	8	L
10/05	Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-2	0-3	2	2	L
02/05	CD Real Santander (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	1-0	2-0	4	7	W
27/04	Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-2	0-4	1	3	L
12/04	Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
31/03	Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-2	0-6	0	3	L
21/03	Atletico Nacional (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-0	0-2	0	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Junior (W) vs Atletico Bucaramanga (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Junior (W) win (56%). Probabilities: Junior (W) 56%, draw 26%, Atletico Bucaramanga (W) 19%.

How many goals are expected in Junior (W) vs Atletico Bucaramanga (W)?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Junior (W) 1.75 · Atletico Bucaramanga (W) 0.94), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Junior (W) vs Atletico Bucaramanga (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.