Football · Colombia Liga Femenina · 02/08, 22:00

Prediction: Deportivo Pasto (W) vs Internacional de Bogota (W)

Team pages: Deportivo Pasto (W) · Internacional de Bogota (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.26Total
Deportivo Pasto (W)0.96
Internacional de Bogota (W)1.29
1X2
27% 30% 43%
Deportivo Pasto (W) Draw Internacional de Bogota (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Pasto (W) 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
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Internacional de Bogota (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WWLWWWWDLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Pasto (W) 1430 · Internacional de Bogota (W) 1556
Deportivo Pasto (W)DrawInternacional de Bogota (W)
Our model26%31%43%
Market27%30%43%
Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Internacional de Bogota (W) (rating 1430 vs 1556).
  • Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Deportivo Pasto (W)Internacional de Bogota (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.61.6 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.80.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 3.33.2 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.24.8 / 0.2

Standings · Colombia Liga Femenina

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Atletico Nacional (W) 141202 28636
2 Deportivo Cali (W) 141121 30635
3 Millonarios (W) 14851 28729
4 America de Cali (W) 14923 22729
5 Independiente Santa Fe (W) 14743 231025
6 Internacional de Bogota (W) 14815 201425
7 Internacional FC de Palmira (W) 14644 131622
8 Independiente Medellin (W) 15618 211919
9 Orsomarso (W) 14374 141416
10 Fortaleza CEIF (W) 15447 101916
11 Llaneros (W) 14347 92413
12 Junior (W) 14266 112112
13 Atletico Bucaramanga (W) 14329 123311
14 CD Real Santander (W) 14176 41910
15 Once Caldas (W) 14149 6237
16 Deportivo Pasto (W) 141310 12256

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDeportivo Pasto (W)Internacional de Bogota (W)
Once Caldas (W) 4-1 W 2-1 W
Atletico Nacional (W) 1-3 L 0-2 L
America de Cali (W) 0-2 L 1-1 D
Fortaleza CEIF (W) 1-2 L 1-0 W
Independiente Santa Fe (W) 0-0 D 1-3 L
Independiente Medellin (W) 1-3 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 4 L 3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Internacional de Bogota (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Pasto (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 Once Caldas (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
3-1 4-1 04 W
29/05 Deportivo Cali (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-2 0-2 11 L
24/05 Atletico Nacional (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
1-1 1-3 14 L
18/05 America de Cali (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-0 0-2 21 L
10/05 Fortaleza CEIF (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
1-0 1-2 73 L
04/05 Once Caldas (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-1 0-1 65 L
26/04 Independiente Santa Fe (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-0 0-0 38 D
11/04 Millonarios (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-2 1-2 311 L
31/03 Independiente Medellin (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
1-1 1-3 33 L
22/03 Junior (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-0 0-0 75 D

Internacional de Bogota (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/07 Fortaleza CEIF (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-0 1-0 54 W
29/05 Atletico Nacional (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-1 0-2 71 L
23/05 America de Cali (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-0 1-1 22 D
17/05 Orsomarso (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
1-1 2-1 210 W
08/05 Llaneros (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
1-0 2-0 54 W
03/05 Fortaleza CEIF (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
1-0 2-0 113 W
27/04 Atletico Bucaramanga (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
2-0 4-0 123 W
20/04 Independiente Santa Fe (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
1-1 1-3 58 L
30/03 Once Caldas (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
2-1 2-1 29 W
25/03 Independiente Medellin (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-0 1-0 46 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Pasto (W) vs Internacional de Bogota (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Internacional de Bogota (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Deportivo Pasto (W) 27%, draw 30%, Internacional de Bogota (W) 43%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Pasto (W) vs Internacional de Bogota (W)?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Deportivo Pasto (W) 0.96 · Internacional de Bogota (W) 1.29), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Pasto (W) vs Internacional de Bogota (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.