Football · Colombia Liga Femenina · 25/07, 23:00

Prediction: Internacional FC de Palmira (W) vs Orsomarso (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.9Total

Internacional FC de Palmira (W)0.98

Orsomarso (W)0.92

1X2

35% 33% 32%

Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Draw Orsomarso (W)

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

Internacional FC de Palmira (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDWLWDLWLL

Orsomarso (W) 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WDDDWDDLLW

Head-to-head

Internacional FC de Palmira (W) 1–2–3 Orsomarso (W) (6 last)

Orsomarso (W)0-0Internacional FC de Palmira (W)
Internacional FC de Palmira (W)0-0Orsomarso (W)
Orsomarso (W)2-0Internacional FC de Palmira (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Internacional FC de Palmira (W) 1482 · Orsomarso (W) 1516

	Internacional FC de Palmira (W)	Draw	Orsomarso (W)
Our model	34%	34%	31%
Market	36%	31%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 1.9 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Orsomarso (W): 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Internacional FC de Palmira (W)	Orsomarso (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.3	1.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 2.4	2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.2	4.1 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.50

X2.88

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 21.98

Under 21.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
20:43	2.50	2.88	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Internacional FC de Palmira (W) 1–2–3 Orsomarso (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Colombia Liga Femenina	Orsomarso (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Internacional FC de Palmira (W)
20/08/25 Colombia Liga Femenina	Internacional FC de Palmira (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Orsomarso (W)
13/08/25 Colombia Liga Femenina	Orsomarso (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Internacional FC de Palmira (W)
28/04/25 Colombia Liga Femenina	Internacional FC de Palmira (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Orsomarso (W)
23/02/25 Colombia Liga Femenina	Orsomarso (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Internacional FC de Palmira (W)
06/03/22 Colombia Liga Femenina	Orsomarso (W)	3-1	Internacional FC de Palmira (W)

Standings · Colombia Liga Femenina

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Cali (W)	14	11	2	1	30	6	35
2	Atletico Nacional (W)	13	11	0	2	25	5	33
3	America de Cali (W)	14	9	2	3	22	7	29
4	Millonarios (W)	13	8	4	1	28	7	28
5	Independiente Santa Fe (W)	13	7	4	2	23	9	25
6	Internacional de Bogota (W)	13	7	1	5	19	14	22
7	Internacional FC de Palmira (W)	13	6	3	4	12	15	21
8	Independiente Medellin (W)	13	6	1	6	20	15	19
9	Orsomarso (W)	13	3	6	4	13	13	15
10	Fortaleza CEIF (W)	13	3	4	6	9	18	13
11	Llaneros (W)	13	3	4	6	9	21	13
12	Junior (W)	13	2	5	6	11	21	11
13	Atletico Bucaramanga (W)	13	2	2	9	9	33	8
14	Once Caldas (W)	13	1	4	8	5	19	7
15	CD Real Santander (W)	13	0	7	6	3	19	7
16	Deportivo Pasto (W)	13	0	3	10	8	24	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Internacional FC de Palmira (W)	Orsomarso (W)
Independiente Santa Fe (W)	0-2 L	1-0 W
Atletico Bucaramanga (W)	1-0 W	1-1 D
Atletico Nacional (W)	0-1 L	1-0 W
Fortaleza CEIF (W)	3-1 W	1-1 D
Llaneros (W)	0-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Orsomarso (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Internacional FC de Palmira (W)

WDWLWDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/05	America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-3	0-5	2	7	L
23/05	Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-1	0-2	1	5	L
15/05	Atletico Bucaramanga (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	1-0	1-0	2	8	W
11/05	Atletico Nacional (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
03/05	Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
23/04	Fortaleza CEIF (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-0	3-1	3	5	W
12/04	Llaneros (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
29/03	Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
22/03	Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
16/03	CD Real Santander (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	1-1	2-1	3	4	W

Orsomarso (W)

WDDDWDDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/05	Junior (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	2-0	5-1	9	5	W
24/05	Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-1	0-2	1	8	L
17/05	Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	1-1	1-2	2	10	L
11/05	Once Caldas (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
03/05	Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
26/04	Atletico Nacional (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
12/04	Atletico Bucaramanga (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
29/03	Fortaleza CEIF (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-0	1-1	9	2	D
25/03	Llaneros (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	1-1	1-1	2	1	D
15/03	Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina	0-0	1-0	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Internacional FC de Palmira (W) vs Orsomarso (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Internacional FC de Palmira (W) win (35%). Probabilities: Internacional FC de Palmira (W) 35%, draw 33%, Orsomarso (W) 32%.

How many goals are expected in Internacional FC de Palmira (W) vs Orsomarso (W)?

The model expects 1.9 goals (Internacional FC de Palmira (W) 0.98 · Orsomarso (W) 0.92), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Internacional FC de Palmira (W) vs Orsomarso (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.