Football · Colombia Liga Femenina · 25/07, 23:30
Prediction: Junior (W) vs Millonarios (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Junior (W)0.63
Millonarios (W)1.92
1X2
Junior (W)
Draw
Millonarios (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Junior (W)
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Millonarios (W)
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Junior (W)
0–2–2
Millonarios (W)
(4 last)
- Junior (W)4-4Millonarios (W)
- Junior (W)0-3Millonarios (W)
- Millonarios (W)0-0Junior (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Junior (W) 1448 · Millonarios (W) 1577
| Junior (W) | Draw | Millonarios (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 22% | 67% |
| Market | 11% | 21% | 68% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Millonarios (W) (rating 1448 vs 1577).
- H2H favours Millonarios (W): 2-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Junior (W) | Millonarios (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.7 | 2.2 / 0.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4 | 2.6 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Junior (W) 0–2–2 Millonarios (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/03/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | Junior (W) | 4-4 HT 1-2 | Millonarios (W) |
| 23/03/24 Colombia Liga Femenina | Junior (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Millonarios (W) |
| 03/03/23 Colombia Liga Femenina | Millonarios (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Junior (W) |
| 15/03/22 Colombia Liga Femenina | Junior (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Millonarios (W) |
Standings · Colombia Liga Femenina
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Cali (W) | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 6 | 35 |
| 2 | Atletico Nacional (W) | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 5 | 33 |
| 3 | America de Cali (W) | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
| 4 | Millonarios (W) | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 25 |
| 6 | Internacional de Bogota (W) | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 22 |
| 7 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 21 |
| 8 | Independiente Medellin (W) | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | Orsomarso (W) | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 15 |
| 10 | Fortaleza CEIF (W) | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 13 |
| 11 | Llaneros (W) | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 13 |
| 12 | Junior (W) | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 11 |
| 13 | Atletico Bucaramanga (W) | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 8 |
| 14 | Once Caldas (W) | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 7 |
| 15 | CD Real Santander (W) | 13 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 7 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pasto (W) | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 24 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Junior (W) | Millonarios (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza CEIF (W) | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| CD Real Santander (W) | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Llaneros (W) | 1-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Independiente Medellin (W) | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Deportivo Pasto (W) | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 1 L | 4 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Millonarios (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Junior (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05 | Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Fortaleza CEIF (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | CD Real Santander (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 11/05 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 01/05 | Llaneros (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 23/04 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 16/04 | Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 30/03 | Atletico Nacional (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | Deportivo Pasto (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 16/03 | Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
Millonarios (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06 | Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | CD Real Santander (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 15/05 | Fortaleza CEIF (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 11/05 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | Llaneros (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Deportivo Pasto (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 11 | W |
| 31/03 | Atletico Bucaramanga (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/03 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 17/03 | Once Caldas (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Junior (W) vs Millonarios (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Millonarios (W) win (67%). Probabilities: Junior (W) 11%, draw 22%, Millonarios (W) 67%.
How many goals are expected in Junior (W) vs Millonarios (W)?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Junior (W) 0.63 · Millonarios (W) 1.92), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Junior (W) vs Millonarios (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.