Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 18/10, 14:30

Prediction: Frydek Mistek B vs Bridlicna

Team pages: Bridlicna

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.7Total

Frydek Mistek B2

Bridlicna1.7

1X2

45% 23% 33%

Frydek Mistek B Draw Bridlicna

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Frydek Mistek B 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Bridlicna 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Frydek Mistek B 1461 · Bridlicna 1466

	Frydek Mistek B	Draw	Bridlicna
Our model	45%	23%	32%
Market	45%	22%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.7 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Frydek Mistek B	Bridlicna
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.3	1.4 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 5.2	1.6 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.4	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.00

X4.00

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:23 +9’	2.00	4.00	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	11	9	0	2	36	14	27
2	Kravare	11	8	2	1	27	12	26
3	FC Vratimov	11	8	0	3	24	17	24
4	Hlucin	11	6	2	3	20	15	20
5	Opava B	11	6	1	4	26	20	19
6	Jiskra Rymarov	11	5	2	4	27	18	17
7	SK Stonava	11	5	2	4	21	18	17
8	TJ Valasske Mezirici	11	4	4	3	24	19	16
9	SK Zabreh	11	4	3	4	14	13	15
10	TJ Novy Jicin	10	4	2	4	18	21	14
11	Pusta Polom	11	3	2	6	18	24	11
12	Bridlicna	10	3	1	6	14	22	10
13	FK Sumperk	10	2	3	5	14	17	9
14	Frydek Mistek B	10	3	0	7	17	23	9
15	SSK Bilovec	11	2	2	7	7	24	8
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	11	1	0	10	12	42	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Frydek Mistek B	Bridlicna
FK Bohumin	1-2 L	2-4 L
SK Zabreh	2-1 W	0-2 L
Hlucin	1-2 L	0-4 L
Jiskra Rymarov	0-4 L	2-1 W
FC Vratimov	1-3 L	1-2 L
FK Sumperk	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Frydek Mistek B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-2	7	7	L
04/10	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	3	2	W
26/09	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-2	6	4	W
20/09	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	5-1	–	–	W
12/09	SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
06/09	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-4	4	5	L
29/08	Hlucin Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
22/08	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
16/08	FC Vratimov Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-3	–	–	L
09/08	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-2	–	–	L

Bridlicna

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-1	5	4	W
03/10	FC Vratimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	3	1	L
27/09	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
20/09	Kravare Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	2-2	3	4	D
12/09	TJ Novy Jicin Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	2-4	1	6	L
06/09	Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	8	1	W
21/08	Hlucin Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-4	6	2	L
16/08	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-4	7	7	L
08/08	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Frydek Mistek B vs Bridlicna?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Frydek Mistek B win (45%). Probabilities: Frydek Mistek B 45%, draw 23%, Bridlicna 33%.

How many goals are expected in Frydek Mistek B vs Bridlicna?

The model expects 3.7 goals (Frydek Mistek B 2 · Bridlicna 1.7), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Frydek Mistek B vs Bridlicna?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.