Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 25/10, 14:00

Prediction: Sokol Tasovice vs AFC Humpolec

Team pages: Sokol Tasovice · AFC Humpolec

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.87Total

Sokol Tasovice1.91

AFC Humpolec0.96

1X2

59% 23% 18%

Sokol Tasovice Draw AFC Humpolec

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Sokol Tasovice 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DDWDDLDWWL

AFC Humpolec 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLLWDWLD

Head-to-head

Sokol Tasovice 3–3 AFC Humpolec (6 last)

AFC Humpolec6-0Sokol Tasovice
Sokol Tasovice1-2AFC Humpolec
AFC Humpolec2-1Sokol Tasovice
Sokol Tasovice3-1AFC Humpolec
AFC Humpolec0-1Sokol Tasovice
Sokol Tasovice3-1AFC Humpolec

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sokol Tasovice 1512 · AFC Humpolec 1469

	Sokol Tasovice	Draw	AFC Humpolec
Our model	58%	24%	18%
Market	60%	21%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sokol Tasovice (rating 1512 vs 1469).
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sokol Tasovice	AFC Humpolec
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1	0.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.6	1.3 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.1	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.20

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.82

2 (+1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
06:25 +2’	1.50	4.20	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sokol Tasovice 3–0–3 AFC Humpolec

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	AFC Humpolec	6-0 HT 2-0	Sokol Tasovice
12/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Sokol Tasovice	1-2 HT 0-0	AFC Humpolec
05/04/25 Czechia 4. Liga	AFC Humpolec	2-1 HT 0-1	Sokol Tasovice
01/09/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Sokol Tasovice	3-1 HT 1-1	AFC Humpolec
21/04/24 Czechia 4. Liga	AFC Humpolec	0-1 HT 0-0	Sokol Tasovice
17/09/23 Czechia 4. Liga	Sokol Tasovice	3-1 HT 1-0	AFC Humpolec

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	11	9	0	2	36	14	27
2	Kravare	11	8	2	1	27	12	26
3	FC Vratimov	11	8	0	3	24	17	24
4	Hlucin	12	7	2	3	23	16	23
5	TJ Valasske Mezirici	12	5	4	3	25	19	19
6	Opava B	12	6	1	5	27	23	19
7	Jiskra Rymarov	11	5	2	4	27	18	17
8	SK Stonava	11	5	2	4	21	18	17
9	SK Zabreh	11	4	3	4	14	13	15
10	TJ Novy Jicin	11	4	3	4	18	21	15
11	Frydek Mistek B	11	4	0	7	21	25	12
12	Pusta Polom	11	3	2	6	18	24	11
13	FK Sumperk	11	2	4	5	14	17	10
14	Bridlicna	12	3	1	8	16	27	10
15	SSK Bilovec	11	2	2	7	7	24	8
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	11	1	0	10	12	42	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sokol Tasovice	AFC Humpolec
SC Znojmo	0-1 L	2-0 W
FC Chotebor	4-1 W	0-0 D
Zdar nad Sazavou	1-0 W	2-1 W
FS Trebic	1-1 D	1-2 L
Sparta Brno	2-3 L	0-1 L
Dosta Bystrc	0-0 D	0-2 L
FC Kurim	1-1 D	0-1 L
TJ Sokol Bedrichov	4-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Sokol Tasovice (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sokol Tasovice

DDWDDLDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	7	9	L
11/10	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	4-1	–	–	W
04/10	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	2	8	W
27/09	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
19/09	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-3	5	5	L
13/09	Dosta Bystrc Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
05/09	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	7	4	D
30/08	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	4-1	12	1	W
21/08	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
16/08	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-2	6	8	D

AFC Humpolec

DLLLLWDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
11/10	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-4	3	4	L
04/10	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	3	6	W
27/09	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
20/09	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-1	4	4	W
13/09	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
05/09	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
30/08	Dosta Bystrc Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
22/08	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
16/08	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-2	8	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sokol Tasovice vs AFC Humpolec?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sokol Tasovice win (59%). Probabilities: Sokol Tasovice 59%, draw 23%, AFC Humpolec 18%.

How many goals are expected in Sokol Tasovice vs AFC Humpolec?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Sokol Tasovice 1.91 · AFC Humpolec 0.96), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sokol Tasovice vs AFC Humpolec?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.