Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 25/10, 14:30

Prediction: TJ Svitavy vs SK Kosmonosy

Team pages: TJ Svitavy · SK Kosmonosy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.17Total

TJ Svitavy1.37

SK Kosmonosy2.81

1X2

16% 17% 67%

TJ Svitavy Draw SK Kosmonosy

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

TJ Svitavy 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLDDLLLL

SK Kosmonosy 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWLWWWWL

Head-to-head

TJ Svitavy 0–2 SK Kosmonosy (2 last)

SK Kosmonosy4-0TJ Svitavy
TJ Svitavy1-2SK Kosmonosy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TJ Svitavy 1389 · SK Kosmonosy 1571

	TJ Svitavy	Draw	SK Kosmonosy
Our model	16%	17%	67%
Market	16%	16%	67%

Estimated total (ours) 4.17 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Kosmonosy (rating 1389 vs 1571).
H2H favours SK Kosmonosy: 2-0-0.
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TJ Svitavy	SK Kosmonosy
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.8	3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.4	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4.6	2.8 / 7.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	4.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

15.50

X5.50

21.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)1.82

2 (-1.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 41.82

Under 41.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
09:45 +17’	5.50	5.50	1.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · TJ Svitavy 0–0–2 SK Kosmonosy

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Kosmonosy	4-0 HT 2-0	TJ Svitavy
31/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Svitavy	1-2 HT 1-0	SK Kosmonosy

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	11	9	0	2	36	14	27
2	Kravare	11	8	2	1	27	12	26
3	FC Vratimov	11	8	0	3	24	17	24
4	Hlucin	12	7	2	3	23	16	23
5	TJ Valasske Mezirici	12	5	4	3	25	19	19
6	Opava B	12	6	1	5	27	23	19
7	Jiskra Rymarov	11	5	2	4	27	18	17
8	SK Stonava	11	5	2	4	21	18	17
9	SK Zabreh	11	4	3	4	14	13	15
10	TJ Novy Jicin	11	4	3	4	18	21	15
11	Frydek Mistek B	11	4	0	7	21	25	12
12	Pusta Polom	11	3	2	6	18	24	11
13	FK Sumperk	11	2	4	5	14	17	10
14	Bridlicna	12	3	1	8	16	27	10
15	SSK Bilovec	11	2	2	7	7	24	8
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	11	1	0	10	12	42	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TJ Svitavy	SK Kosmonosy
FK Chlumec N.C	1-4 L	2-0 W
SK Vysoke Myto	3-5 L	2-2 D
SK Sparta Kolin	1-3 L	4-0 W
Dvur Kralove	0-1 L	1-2 L
Hlinsko	0-6 L	5-2 W
FC Slavia HK	2-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 6 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: SK Kosmonosy (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TJ Svitavy

LLLLDDLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	FK Chlumec N.C Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-4	3	2	L
11/10	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-5	3	5	L
03/10	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-3	5	2	L
27/09	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-3	8	5	L
19/09	Usti N Orlici Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
13/09	Cechie Vykan Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
06/09	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-3	8	3	L
30/08	Dvur Kralove Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
23/08	Hlinsko Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-6	–	–	L
15/08	FC Slavia HK Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	2-3	3	6	L

SK Kosmonosy

DWWWLWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Dvur Kralove Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	7	4	L
10/10	Hlinsko Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	5-2	–	–	W
03/10	FC Slavia HK Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	15	5	W
26/09	Letohrad Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	3-2	–	–	W
19/09	MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	6-1	15	6	W
13/09	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-4	7	5	L
05/09	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	4-1	3	4	W
30/08	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-0	6	3	W
23/08	FK Chlumec N.C Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	2	5	W
15/08	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-2	7	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TJ Svitavy vs SK Kosmonosy?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SK Kosmonosy win (67%). Probabilities: TJ Svitavy 16%, draw 17%, SK Kosmonosy 67%.

How many goals are expected in TJ Svitavy vs SK Kosmonosy?

The model expects 4.17 goals (TJ Svitavy 1.37 · SK Kosmonosy 2.81), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in TJ Svitavy vs SK Kosmonosy?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.