Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 25/10, 14:30

Prediction: SK Sparta Kolin vs Letohrad

Team pages: SK Sparta Kolin · Letohrad

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.39Total

SK Sparta Kolin3.19

Letohrad1.2

1X2

76% 14% 10%

SK Sparta Kolin Draw Letohrad

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

3-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Sparta Kolin 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Letohrad 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Sparta Kolin 1503 · Letohrad 1400

	SK Sparta Kolin	Draw	Letohrad
Our model	76%	14%	10%
Market	76%	14%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 4.39 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Sparta Kolin (rating 1503 vs 1400).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Sparta Kolin	Letohrad
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.7	1.2 / 3.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.7 / 2.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	10/10/80%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.6	2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.2	0.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.18

X6.50

28.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.90

2 (+2.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 41.82

Under 41.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18
X	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
2	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
07:31 +28’	1.18	6.50	8.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	11	9	0	2	36	14	27
2	Kravare	11	8	2	1	27	12	26
3	FC Vratimov	11	8	0	3	24	17	24
4	Hlucin	12	7	2	3	23	16	23
5	TJ Valasske Mezirici	12	5	4	3	25	19	19
6	Opava B	12	6	1	5	27	23	19
7	Jiskra Rymarov	11	5	2	4	27	18	17
8	SK Stonava	11	5	2	4	21	18	17
9	SK Zabreh	11	4	3	4	14	13	15
10	TJ Novy Jicin	11	4	3	4	18	21	15
11	Frydek Mistek B	11	4	0	7	21	25	12
12	Pusta Polom	11	3	2	6	18	24	11
13	FK Sumperk	11	2	4	5	14	17	10
14	Bridlicna	12	3	1	8	16	27	10
15	SSK Bilovec	11	2	2	7	7	24	8
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	11	1	0	10	12	42	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Sparta Kolin	Letohrad
FK Trutnov	0-1 L	1-2 L
MFK Chrudim B	5-1 W	1-1 D
Usti N Orlici	1-2 L	1-4 L
Turnov	1-2 L	2-2 D
Cechie Vykan	3-2 W	1-4 L
Spartak Police Nad Metuji	3-1 W	0-4 L
SK Kosmonosy	0-4 L	2-3 L
FK Chlumec N.C	1-1 D	1-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	0 W 2 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: SK Sparta Kolin (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Sparta Kolin

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
11/10	MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	5-1	11	1	W
04/10	Usti N Orlici Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-2	2	5	L
27/09	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
19/09	Cechie Vykan Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	3-2	4	3	W
13/09	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	2	3	W
06/09	TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-1	1	3	W
30/08	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-4	2	3	L
23/08	Dvur Kralove Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-2	1	7	D
16/08	FK Chlumec N.C Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	5	1	D

Letohrad

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	7	3	D
10/10	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
04/10	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-4	2	0	L
26/09	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-3	–	–	L
20/09	FK Chlumec N.C Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-4	6	0	L
12/09	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
05/09	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	0-6	1-8	1	0	L
29/08	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
22/08	Usti N Orlici Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-4	–	–	L
15/08	Cechie Vykan Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	1-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Sparta Kolin vs Letohrad?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Sparta Kolin win (76%). Probabilities: SK Sparta Kolin 76%, draw 14%, Letohrad 10%.

How many goals are expected in SK Sparta Kolin vs Letohrad?

The model expects 4.39 goals (SK Sparta Kolin 3.19 · Letohrad 1.2), with a 53% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Sparta Kolin vs Letohrad?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.