Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 25/10, 14:30

Prediction: Dvur Kralove vs Spartak Police Nad Metuji

Team pages: Dvur Kralove · Spartak Police Nad Metuji

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

Dvur Kralove1.43

Spartak Police Nad Metuji1.54

1X2

35% 25% 40%

Dvur Kralove Draw Spartak Police Nad Metuji

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Dvur Kralove 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Spartak Police Nad Metuji 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLWWDW

Head-to-head

Dvur Kralove 0–1 Spartak Police Nad Metuji (1 last)

Dvur Kralove1-2Spartak Police Nad Metuji

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dvur Kralove 1475 · Spartak Police Nad Metuji 1502

	Dvur Kralove	Draw	Spartak Police Nad Metuji
Our model	34%	27%	39%
Market	36%	24%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dvur Kralove	Spartak Police Nad Metuji
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.3	1.8 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.8	2.8 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.5	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.80

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
09:54 +8’	2.50	3.80	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dvur Kralove 0–0–1 Spartak Police Nad Metuji

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/26 Czechia Cup	Dvur Kralove	1-2 HT 0-1	Spartak Police Nad Metuji

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	11	9	0	2	36	14	27
2	Kravare	11	8	2	1	27	12	26
3	FC Vratimov	11	8	0	3	24	17	24
4	Hlucin	12	7	2	3	23	16	23
5	TJ Valasske Mezirici	12	5	4	3	25	19	19
6	Opava B	12	6	1	5	27	23	19
7	Jiskra Rymarov	11	5	2	4	27	18	17
8	SK Stonava	11	5	2	4	21	18	17
9	SK Zabreh	11	4	3	4	14	13	15
10	TJ Novy Jicin	11	4	3	4	18	21	15
11	Frydek Mistek B	11	4	0	7	21	25	12
12	Pusta Polom	11	3	2	6	18	24	11
13	FK Sumperk	11	2	4	5	14	17	10
14	Bridlicna	12	3	1	8	16	27	10
15	SSK Bilovec	11	2	2	7	7	24	8
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	11	1	0	10	12	42	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dvur Kralove	Spartak Police Nad Metuji
SK Kosmonosy	2-1 W	1-4 L
FK Chlumec N.C	0-0 D	3-1 W
SK Vysoke Myto	0-2 L	0-2 L
FK Prepere	1-0 W	0-1 L
SK Sparta Kolin	2-2 D	1-3 L
Hlinsko	2-3 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Dvur Kralove (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dvur Kralove

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
11/10	FK Chlumec N.C Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
03/10	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
27/09	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	1	6	W
19/09	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
13/09	Usti N Orlici Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	9	6	L
05/09	Cechie Vykan Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-2	3	6	L
30/08	TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	8	3	W
23/08	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-2	4	7	D
15/08	Hlinsko Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-3	0	4	L

Spartak Police Nad Metuji

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Hlinsko Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	3-2	–	–	W
10/10	FC Slavia HK Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	7	4	D
04/10	Letohrad Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	4-0	6	0	W
26/09	MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	5	1	W
20/09	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	3-5	–	–	L
13/09	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-3	4	3	L
05/09	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-4	7	4	L
30/08	FK Chlumec N.C Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-2	1	2	L
16/08	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dvur Kralove vs Spartak Police Nad Metuji?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Spartak Police Nad Metuji win (40%). Probabilities: Dvur Kralove 35%, draw 25%, Spartak Police Nad Metuji 40%.

How many goals are expected in Dvur Kralove vs Spartak Police Nad Metuji?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Dvur Kralove 1.43 · Spartak Police Nad Metuji 1.54), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Dvur Kralove vs Spartak Police Nad Metuji?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.