Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 17/10, 10:15

Prediction: FC Vratimov vs Pusta Polom

Team pages: FC Vratimov · Pusta Polom

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.49Total

FC Vratimov2.33

Pusta Polom1.16

1X2

63% 20% 17%

FC Vratimov Draw Pusta Polom

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Vratimov 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLWWWL

Pusta Polom 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLDLWLLWLD

Head-to-head

FC Vratimov 3–2 Pusta Polom (5 last)

Pusta Polom0-2FC Vratimov
FC Vratimov3-2Pusta Polom
Pusta Polom3-0FC Vratimov
FC Vratimov3-0Pusta Polom
Pusta Polom3-2FC Vratimov

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Vratimov 1556 · Pusta Polom 1464

	FC Vratimov	Draw	Pusta Polom
Our model	63%	20%	17%
Market	63%	20%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 3.49 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Vratimov (rating 1556 vs 1464).
H2H favours FC Vratimov: 3-0-2.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Vratimov	Pusta Polom
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.4	1.5 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/0/50%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.3	2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	4.9 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.42

X4.50

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.90

2 (+1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.42▼	Bet365 1.42
X	4.33 → 4.50▲	Bet365 4.50
2	4.00 → 5.25▲	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
03:02 +6’	1.57	4.33	4.00
06:03 +3’	1.42▼	4.50▲	5.25▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Vratimov 3–0–2 Pusta Polom

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Pusta Polom	0-2 HT 0-1	FC Vratimov
16/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Vratimov	3-2 HT 1-2	Pusta Polom
13/06/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Pusta Polom	3-0 HT 2-0	FC Vratimov
09/11/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Vratimov	3-0 HT 3-0	Pusta Polom
24/08/22 Czechia 5. Liga	Pusta Polom	3-2 HT 3-0	FC Vratimov

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	10	9	0	1	35	12	27
2	Kravare	10	8	1	1	27	12	25
3	FC Vratimov	10	7	0	3	20	14	21
4	Hlucin	10	6	1	3	20	15	19
5	SK Stonava	10	5	2	3	21	16	17
6	Opava B	10	5	1	4	22	19	16
7	Jiskra Rymarov	10	4	2	4	22	18	14
8	TJ Novy Jicin	10	4	2	4	18	21	14
9	TJ Valasske Mezirici	10	3	4	3	22	18	13
10	SK Zabreh	10	3	3	4	12	13	12
11	Pusta Polom	10	3	2	5	15	20	11
12	Bridlicna	10	3	1	6	14	22	10
13	FK Sumperk	10	2	3	5	14	17	9
14	Frydek Mistek B	10	3	0	7	17	23	9
15	SSK Bilovec	10	2	2	6	7	19	8
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	10	1	0	9	11	38	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Vratimov	Pusta Polom
SSK Bilovec	1-2 L	0-1 L
Bridlicna	2-1 W	1-0 W
FK Bohumin	3-2 W	1-4 L
SK Zabreh	3-1 W	2-2 D
Opava B	0-3 L	1-3 L
Frydlant Nad Ostravici	2-1 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Vratimov

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
03/10	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	11	1	W
27/09	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	3-2	–	–	W
19/09	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	3	5	W
13/09	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	2	3	L
05/09	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	11	6	W
29/08	SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
16/08	Frydek Mistek B Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
08/08	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-2	7	6	L

Pusta Polom

WLDLWLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-2	5	5	D
04/10	Kravare Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-2	6	7	L
27/09	TJ Novy Jicin Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-2	8	12	W
18/09	Hlucin Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	1-4	3	2	L
13/09	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
06/09	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
30/08	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-4	6	4	L
23/08	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
16/08	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-3	3	4	L
09/08	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Vratimov vs Pusta Polom?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Vratimov win (63%). Probabilities: FC Vratimov 63%, draw 20%, Pusta Polom 17%.

How many goals are expected in FC Vratimov vs Pusta Polom?

The model expects 3.49 goals (FC Vratimov 2.33 · Pusta Polom 1.16), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Vratimov vs Pusta Polom?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.