Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 16/10, 18:00

Prediction: Hlucin vs Kravare

Team pages: Hlucin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.61Total

Hlucin2

Kravare1.61

1X2

47% 22% 31%

Hlucin Draw Kravare

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Hlucin 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Kravare 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hlucin 1527 · Kravare 1587

	Hlucin	Draw	Kravare
Our model	46%	23%	30%
Market	47%	22%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.61 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kravare (rating 1527 vs 1587).
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hlucin	Kravare
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.5	2.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.1	1.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 6.7	2.3 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	5.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.91

X4.10

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
04:00 +6’	1.91	4.10	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	10	9	0	1	35	12	27
2	Kravare	10	8	1	1	27	12	25
3	FC Vratimov	10	7	0	3	20	14	21
4	Hlucin	10	6	1	3	20	15	19
5	SK Stonava	10	5	2	3	21	16	17
6	Opava B	10	5	1	4	22	19	16
7	Jiskra Rymarov	10	4	2	4	22	18	14
8	TJ Novy Jicin	10	4	2	4	18	21	14
9	TJ Valasske Mezirici	10	3	4	3	22	18	13
10	SK Zabreh	10	3	3	4	12	13	12
11	Pusta Polom	10	3	2	5	15	20	11
12	Bridlicna	10	3	1	6	14	22	10
13	FK Sumperk	10	2	3	5	14	17	9
14	Frydek Mistek B	10	3	0	7	17	23	9
15	SSK Bilovec	10	2	2	6	7	19	8
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	10	1	0	9	11	38	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hlucin	Kravare
Frydlant Nad Ostravici	0-3 L	7-2 W
TJ Novy Jicin	1-1 D	4-0 W
SK Stonava	1-4 L	2-1 W
Pusta Polom	4-1 W	2-1 W
TJ Valasske Mezirici	5-2 W	3-1 W
SSK Bilovec	1-0 W	2-0 W
Bridlicna	4-0 W	2-2 D
FK Bohumin	0-2 L	1-5 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	6 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hlucin

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-3	5	9	L
02/10	TJ Novy Jicin Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	8	6	D
26/09	SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga	0-4	1-4	–	–	L
18/09	Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	4-1	10	2	W
12/09	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	5-2	–	–	W
04/09	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
29/08	Frydek Mistek B Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
21/08	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-0	7	2	W
15/08	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
07/08	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	6	4	L

Kravare

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	TJ Novy Jicin Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	4-0	0	4	W
04/10	Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	4	7	W
27/09	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
20/09	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	2-2	5	4	D
13/09	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-5	8	5	L
06/09	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	3-0	4	2	W
22/08	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	7-2	3	7	W
15/08	SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	4	7	W
09/08	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	5	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hlucin vs Kravare?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hlucin win (47%). Probabilities: Hlucin 47%, draw 22%, Kravare 31%.

How many goals are expected in Hlucin vs Kravare?

The model expects 3.61 goals (Hlucin 2 · Kravare 1.61), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hlucin vs Kravare?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.