Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 18/10, 14:30

Prediction: FC Spartak Velka Bites vs FC Kurim

Team pages: FC Spartak Velka Bites · FC Kurim

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.53Total

FC Spartak Velka Bites1.77

FC Kurim1.77

1X2

38% 24% 38%

FC Spartak Velka Bites Draw FC Kurim

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Spartak Velka Bites 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

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FC Kurim 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Spartak Velka Bites 2–1–1 FC Kurim (4 last)

FC Spartak Velka Bites1-1FC Kurim
FC Kurim2-0FC Spartak Velka Bites
FC Spartak Velka Bites1-0FC Kurim
FC Kurim2-4FC Spartak Velka Bites

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Spartak Velka Bites 1548 · FC Kurim 1537

	FC Spartak Velka Bites	Draw	FC Kurim
Our model	38%	24%	38%
Market	38%	24%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.53 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Spartak Velka Bites: 2-1-1.
High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Spartak Velka Bites	FC Kurim
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.1	3.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	1.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 6.4	2.6 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.75

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:55 +37’	2.35	3.75	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Spartak Velka Bites 2–1–1 FC Kurim

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Spartak Velka Bites	1-1 HT 0-1	FC Kurim
04/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Kurim	2-0 HT 2-0	FC Spartak Velka Bites
22/03/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Spartak Velka Bites	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Kurim
17/08/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Kurim	2-4 HT 1-1	FC Spartak Velka Bites

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	11	9	0	2	36	14	27
2	Kravare	11	8	2	1	27	12	26
3	FC Vratimov	11	8	0	3	24	17	24
4	Hlucin	11	6	2	3	20	15	20
5	Opava B	11	6	1	4	26	20	19
6	Jiskra Rymarov	11	5	2	4	27	18	17
7	SK Stonava	11	5	2	4	21	18	17
8	TJ Valasske Mezirici	11	4	4	3	24	19	16
9	SK Zabreh	11	4	3	4	14	13	15
10	TJ Novy Jicin	10	4	2	4	18	21	14
11	Pusta Polom	11	3	2	6	18	24	11
12	Bridlicna	10	3	1	6	14	22	10
13	FK Sumperk	10	2	3	5	14	17	9
14	Frydek Mistek B	10	3	0	7	17	23	9
15	SSK Bilovec	11	2	2	7	7	24	8
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	11	1	0	10	12	42	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Spartak Velka Bites	FC Kurim
AFC Humpolec	4-1 W	1-0 W
TJ Sokol Bedrichov	6-3 W	13-0 W
SC Znojmo	1-1 D	1-2 L
Velke Mezirici	2-0 W	3-0 W
FC Chotebor	0-0 D	8-1 W
FK Pelhrimov	2-0 W	2-4 L
SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou	1-0 W	6-1 W
TJ Tatran Bohunice	0-4 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Kurim (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Spartak Velka Bites

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	4-1	6	4	W
04/10	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	6-3	10	1	W
27/09	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
20/09	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	11	5	W
12/09	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
05/09	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
30/08	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
23/08	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	0	5	W
15/08	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
09/08	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-4	8	1	L

FC Kurim

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga	6-0	13-0	–	–	W
03/10	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
27/09	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	1-4	2-4	–	–	L
19/09	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	4-1	6-1	4	4	W
12/09	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	7	2	L
05/09	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
29/08	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	8	2	W
22/08	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	11	4	W
15/08	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
08/08	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	8-1	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Spartak Velka Bites vs FC Kurim?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Spartak Velka Bites win (38%). Probabilities: FC Spartak Velka Bites 38%, draw 24%, FC Kurim 38%.

How many goals are expected in FC Spartak Velka Bites vs FC Kurim?

The model expects 3.53 goals (FC Spartak Velka Bites 1.77 · FC Kurim 1.77), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Spartak Velka Bites vs FC Kurim?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.