Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 18/10, 10:15

Prediction: Slavicin vs SFK Holesov

Team pages: Slavicin · SFK Holesov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.56Total

Slavicin2.18

SFK Holesov1.38

1X2

54% 23% 23%

Slavicin Draw SFK Holesov

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Slavicin 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWDLWW

SFK Holesov 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDWDLLDDLW

Head-to-head

Slavicin 3–1–2 SFK Holesov (6 last)

SFK Holesov1-3Slavicin
Slavicin1-1SFK Holesov
SFK Holesov1-3Slavicin
SFK Holesov3-1Slavicin
Slavicin2-1SFK Holesov
Slavicin0-3SFK Holesov

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Slavicin 1522 · SFK Holesov 1487

	Slavicin	Draw	SFK Holesov
Our model	55%	22%	23%
Market	54%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Slavicin: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Slavicin	SFK Holesov
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.8	1.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 1	1.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.5	1.9 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0	3.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.80

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:25 +13’	1.65	3.80	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Slavicin 3–1–2 SFK Holesov

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Czechia Cup	SFK Holesov	1-3	Slavicin
01/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Slavicin	1-1 HT 0-0	SFK Holesov
27/09/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SFK Holesov	1-3 HT 0-1	Slavicin
22/03/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SFK Holesov	3-1 HT 2-0	Slavicin
17/08/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Slavicin	2-1 HT 1-0	SFK Holesov
26/05/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Slavicin	0-3 HT 0-0	SFK Holesov

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	11	9	0	2	36	14	27
2	Kravare	11	8	2	1	27	12	26
3	FC Vratimov	11	8	0	3	24	17	24
4	Hlucin	11	6	2	3	20	15	20
5	Opava B	11	6	1	4	26	20	19
6	Jiskra Rymarov	11	5	2	4	27	18	17
7	SK Stonava	11	5	2	4	21	18	17
8	TJ Valasske Mezirici	11	4	4	3	24	19	16
9	SK Zabreh	11	4	3	4	14	13	15
10	TJ Novy Jicin	10	4	2	4	18	21	14
11	Pusta Polom	11	3	2	6	18	24	11
12	Bridlicna	10	3	1	6	14	22	10
13	FK Sumperk	10	2	3	5	14	17	9
14	Frydek Mistek B	10	3	0	7	17	23	9
15	SSK Bilovec	11	2	2	7	7	24	8
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	11	1	0	10	12	42	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Slavicin	SFK Holesov
FC Brumov	3-1 W	3-3 D
SK Batov	4-2 W	3-1 W
SK Prostejov B	1-2 L	2-2 D
Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B	1-1 D	3-0 W
SK Krumvir	1-2 L	0-1 L
TJ MILO Olomouc	1-0 W	4-3 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: SFK Holesov (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Slavicin

WLLWLWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	FC Brumov Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
03/10	SK Batov Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	4-2	–	–	W
26/09	SK Prostejov B Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-2	4	6	L
19/09	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	Sternberk Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
05/09	FC Strani Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
29/08	Bzenec Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	4-3	7	4	W
23/08	Tatran Vsechovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-4	0	7	L
16/08	SK Krumvir Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
08/08	TJ MILO Olomouc Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	7	3	W

SFK Holesov

WDWDLLDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	TJ MILO Olomouc Czechia 4. Liga	4-0	4-3	–	–	W
04/10	TJ Sokol Lanzhot Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
26/09	FK Kozlovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
18/09	Hluk Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-2	2	6	D
12/09	Breclav Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
05/09	SK Krumvir Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
30/08	FC Brumov Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-3	5	2	D
22/08	SK Batov Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	5	2	W
15/08	SK Prostejov B Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	2-2	2	5	D
08/08	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	5	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Slavicin vs SFK Holesov?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Slavicin win (54%). Probabilities: Slavicin 54%, draw 23%, SFK Holesov 23%.

How many goals are expected in Slavicin vs SFK Holesov?

The model expects 3.56 goals (Slavicin 2.18 · SFK Holesov 1.38), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Slavicin vs SFK Holesov?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.