Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 15/08, 16:30
Prediction: TJ Valasske Mezirici vs FK Sumperk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.55Total
TJ Valasske Mezirici1.92
FK Sumperk1.63
1X2
TJ Valasske Mezirici
Draw
FK Sumperk
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
TJ Valasske Mezirici
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
FK Sumperk
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
TJ Valasske Mezirici
3–1–2
FK Sumperk
(6 last)
- TJ Valasske Mezirici5-1FK Sumperk
- FK Sumperk1-1TJ Valasske Mezirici
- TJ Valasske Mezirici0-1FK Sumperk
- FK Sumperk1-3TJ Valasske Mezirici
- TJ Valasske Mezirici1-2FK Sumperk
- FK Sumperk2-3TJ Valasske Mezirici
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · TJ Valasske Mezirici 1440 · FK Sumperk 1453
| TJ Valasske Mezirici | Draw | FK Sumperk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 24% | 32% |
| Market | 44% | 24% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.55 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours TJ Valasske Mezirici: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| TJ Valasske Mezirici | FK Sumperk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 3.3 | 0.9 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.7 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.4 | – / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.4 | 5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · TJ Valasske Mezirici 3–1–2 FK Sumperk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga | TJ Valasske Mezirici | 5-1 HT 3-1 | FK Sumperk |
| 28/09/25 Czechia 4. Liga | FK Sumperk | 1-1 HT 1-1 | TJ Valasske Mezirici |
| 14/06/25 Czechia 4. Liga | TJ Valasske Mezirici | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FK Sumperk |
| 10/11/24 Czechia 4. Liga | FK Sumperk | 1-3 HT 1-2 | TJ Valasske Mezirici |
| 07/04/24 Czechia 4. Liga | TJ Valasske Mezirici | 1-2 HT 1-0 | FK Sumperk |
| 03/09/23 Czechia 4. Liga | FK Sumperk | 2-3 HT 0-1 | TJ Valasske Mezirici |
Standings · Czechia 4. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pusta Polom | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Kravare | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | FK Bohumin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | SK Zabreh | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | FK Sumperk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Jiskra Rymarov | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | TJ Novy Jicin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | SK Stonava | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | SSK Bilovec | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Opava B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | FC Vratimov | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Frydek Mistek B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | TJ Valasske Mezirici | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Hlucin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Bridlicna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Frydlant Nad Ostravici | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | TJ Valasske Mezirici | FK Sumperk |
|---|---|---|
| FK Bohumin | 3-5 L | 3-6 L |
| SK Zabreh | 1-8 L | 0-0 D |
| Jiskra Rymarov | 3-5 L | 0-4 L |
| Pusta Polom | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| TJ Novy Jicin | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| FC Irp Cesky Tesin | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: TJ Valasske Mezirici (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
TJ Valasske Mezirici
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | SK Unicov Czechia Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | Kravare Czechia 4. Liga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 12/06 | FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga |
0-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/06 | SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga |
0-3 | 1-8 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga |
2-3 | 3-5 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | TJ Novy Jicin Czechia 4. Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | FC Irp Cesky Tesin Czechia 4. Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 01/05 | FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga |
3-1 | 5-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | MFK Havirov Czechia 4. Liga |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
FK Sumperk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Frydek Mistek B Czechia 4. Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/07 | TJ MILO Olomouc Czechia Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | FC Vratimov Czechia 4. Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga |
2-3 | 3-6 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | TJ Novy Jicin Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 01/05 | TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga |
1-3 | 1-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | FC Irp Cesky Tesin Czechia 4. Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in TJ Valasske Mezirici vs FK Sumperk?
According to our model, the most likely result is a TJ Valasske Mezirici win (44%). Probabilities: TJ Valasske Mezirici 44%, draw 24%, FK Sumperk 32%.
How many goals are expected in TJ Valasske Mezirici vs FK Sumperk?
The model expects 3.55 goals (TJ Valasske Mezirici 1.92 · FK Sumperk 1.63), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in TJ Valasske Mezirici vs FK Sumperk?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.