Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 23/08, 10:15

Prediction: FK Chlumec N.C vs SK Kosmonosy

Team pages: FK Chlumec N.C · SK Kosmonosy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.6Total

FK Chlumec N.C1.79

SK Kosmonosy1.81

1X2

38% 23% 39%

FK Chlumec N.C Draw SK Kosmonosy

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FK Chlumec N.C 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLLWLLDLLD

SK Kosmonosy 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWWLDLWD

Head-to-head

FK Chlumec N.C 1–1 SK Kosmonosy (2 last)

FK Chlumec N.C2-1SK Kosmonosy
SK Kosmonosy2-1FK Chlumec N.C

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Chlumec N.C 1437 · SK Kosmonosy 1503

	FK Chlumec N.C	Draw	SK Kosmonosy
Our model	38%	24%	39%
Market	38%	23%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 3.6 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Kosmonosy (rating 1437 vs 1503).
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Chlumec N.C	SK Kosmonosy
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.2	2.8 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.3	1.4 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.7	3 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.90

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 1.15 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:27 +30’	2.35	3.90	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Chlumec N.C 1–0–1 SK Kosmonosy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Chlumec N.C	2-1 HT 2-0	SK Kosmonosy
06/09/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Kosmonosy	2-1 HT 1-1	FK Chlumec N.C

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
2	Hlucin	3	2	0	1	6	3	6
3	Kravare	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
4	SK Zabreh	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
5	Opava B	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
6	TJ Novy Jicin	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
6	FK Sumperk	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
8	FC Vratimov	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
8	Pusta Polom	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
10	Jiskra Rymarov	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
11	SK Stonava	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
12	SSK Bilovec	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
13	TJ Valasske Mezirici	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
14	Frydek Mistek B	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
15	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	2	0	0	2	0	4	0
16	Bridlicna	3	0	0	3	2	10	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Chlumec N.C	SK Kosmonosy
SK Vysoke Myto	2-4 L	2-2 D
FK Dobrovice	0-1 L	6-1 W
Zenit Caslav	1-0 W	3-4 L
Spartak Police Nad Metuji	1-2 L	1-5 L
Turnov	3-3 D	3-3 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Chlumec N.C

DLLWLLDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	6	1	D
08/08	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-4	6	5	L
13/06	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	1-4	4	0	L
06/06	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
31/05	FK Dobrovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
23/05	FK Horni Redice Czechia 4. Liga	0-4	0-4	7	4	L
17/05	Zenit Caslav Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	1	7	W
10/05	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
01/05	FK Nachod Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-2	4	7	L
26/04	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	3-3	–	–	D

SK Kosmonosy

LWDWWLDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-2	7	6	D
08/08	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	4-2	6	5	W
13/06	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	1-5	–	–	L
07/06	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	2-3	3-3	4	1	D
30/05	Slovan Hradek nad Nisou Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
23/05	MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
16/05	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	4-1	5-1	–	–	W
09/05	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	3	1	D
01/05	FK Dobrovice Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	6-1	–	–	W
26/04	Zenit Caslav Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	3-4	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Chlumec N.C vs SK Kosmonosy?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SK Kosmonosy win (39%). Probabilities: FK Chlumec N.C 38%, draw 23%, SK Kosmonosy 39%.

How many goals are expected in FK Chlumec N.C vs SK Kosmonosy?

The model expects 3.6 goals (FK Chlumec N.C 1.79 · SK Kosmonosy 1.81), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Chlumec N.C vs SK Kosmonosy?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.