Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 23/08, 16:30

Prediction: SSK Bilovec vs FK Bohumin

Team pages: SSK Bilovec · FK Bohumin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

SSK Bilovec1.53

FK Bohumin1.82

1X2

32% 23% 44%

SSK Bilovec Draw FK Bohumin

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SSK Bilovec 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDWDLWDL

FK Bohumin 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DLLWLWWWWW

Head-to-head

SSK Bilovec 4–2–0 FK Bohumin (6 last)

SSK Bilovec1-0FK Bohumin
FK Bohumin2-2SSK Bilovec
FK Bohumin2-2SSK Bilovec
SSK Bilovec4-2FK Bohumin
SSK Bilovec2-1FK Bohumin
FK Bohumin1-3SSK Bilovec

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SSK Bilovec 1504 · FK Bohumin 1553

	SSK Bilovec	Draw	FK Bohumin
Our model	32%	25%	44%
Market	33%	22%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Bohumin (rating 1504 vs 1553).
H2H favours SSK Bilovec: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SSK Bilovec	FK Bohumin
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.2	2.8 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	1.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.9	1.8 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.75

X4.00

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
12:22 +5’	2.75	4.00	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SSK Bilovec 4–2–0 FK Bohumin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	SSK Bilovec	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Bohumin
05/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Bohumin	2-2 HT 1-0	SSK Bilovec
20/04/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Bohumin	2-2 HT 0-2	SSK Bilovec
16/11/24 Czechia 4. Liga	SSK Bilovec	4-2 HT 1-0	FK Bohumin
21/04/24 Czechia 4. Liga	SSK Bilovec	2-1 HT 1-1	FK Bohumin
17/09/23 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Bohumin	1-3 HT 0-2	SSK Bilovec

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
2	Hlucin	3	2	0	1	6	3	6
3	Kravare	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
4	SK Zabreh	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
5	Opava B	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
6	TJ Novy Jicin	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
6	FK Sumperk	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
8	FC Vratimov	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
8	Pusta Polom	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
10	Jiskra Rymarov	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
11	SK Stonava	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
12	SSK Bilovec	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
13	TJ Valasske Mezirici	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
14	Frydek Mistek B	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
15	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	2	0	0	2	0	4	0
16	Bridlicna	3	0	0	3	2	10	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SSK Bilovec	FK Bohumin
Opava B	1-1 D	1-2 L
Frydlant Nad Ostravici	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: SSK Bilovec (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SSK Bilovec

WDWDWDLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
09/08	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	7	3	D
13/06	FC Irp Cesky Tesin Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
07/06	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	5	3	L
31/05	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
24/05	SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
16/05	FC Vratimov Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-2	2	7	D
10/05	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
03/05	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
26/04	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	5-2	4	6	W

FK Bohumin

DLLWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	4-2	6	7	W
07/08	Hlucin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	2	4	W
12/06	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	5-3	6	4	W
07/06	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	3-2	6-3	–	–	W
31/05	MFK Havirov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-2	–	–	W
23/05	FK Petrvald na Morave Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
17/05	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-0	5	6	W
10/05	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
03/05	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-2	5	4	L
26/04	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	6	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SSK Bilovec vs FK Bohumin?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Bohumin win (44%). Probabilities: SSK Bilovec 32%, draw 23%, FK Bohumin 44%.

How many goals are expected in SSK Bilovec vs FK Bohumin?

The model expects 3.35 goals (SSK Bilovec 1.53 · FK Bohumin 1.82), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SSK Bilovec vs FK Bohumin?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.