Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 23/08, 16:30

Prediction: Pusta Polom vs SK Zabreh

Team pages: Pusta Polom · SK Zabreh

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.41Total

Pusta Polom1.54

SK Zabreh1.87

1X2

31% 24% 45%

Pusta Polom Draw SK Zabreh

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Pusta Polom 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDDLLDWWWL

SK Zabreh 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDWDLDWWWW

Head-to-head

Pusta Polom 0–2 SK Zabreh (2 last)

Pusta Polom1-2SK Zabreh
SK Zabreh4-3Pusta Polom

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Zabreh (rating 1490 vs 1594).
H2H favours SK Zabreh: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pusta Polom	SK Zabreh
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.6	2.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.7	0.5 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.83

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:09

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.19 → 3.19	Pinn 3.19
X	3.51 → 3.51	Pinn 3.51
2	1.89 → 1.89	Pinn 1.89

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
06:09	3.19	3.51	1.89

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Pusta Polom 0–0–2 SK Zabreh

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Pusta Polom	1-2 HT 0-1	SK Zabreh
03/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Zabreh	4-3 HT 1-3	Pusta Polom

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kravare	3	3	0	0	12	4	9
2	Opava B	3	2	1	0	9	4	7
3	Jiskra Rymarov	3	2	0	1	7	3	6
4	FK Bohumin	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
5	Hlucin	3	2	0	1	6	3	6
5	FC Vratimov	3	2	0	1	6	3	6
7	SK Zabreh	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
8	FK Sumperk	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
9	TJ Novy Jicin	3	1	1	1	5	7	4
10	Pusta Polom	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
11	SK Stonava	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
12	SSK Bilovec	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
13	TJ Valasske Mezirici	3	0	1	2	2	6	1
14	Frydek Mistek B	3	0	0	3	2	9	0
15	Bridlicna	3	0	0	3	2	10	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	3	0	0	3	2	11	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pusta Polom	SK Zabreh
Opava B	1-3 L	2-1 W
TJ Novy Jicin	0-0 D	7-2 W
TJ Valasske Mezirici	1-3 L	8-1 W
FK Sumperk	0-1 L	0-0 D
MFK Havirov	1-1 D	1-4 L
FK Petrvald na Morave	2-2 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: SK Zabreh (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pusta Polom

DDDLLDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-3	3	4	L
09/08	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
13/06	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
07/06	FC Irp Cesky Tesin Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
31/05	TJ Novy Jicin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
23/05	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
17/05	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
10/05	MFK Havirov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
01/05	FK Petrvald na Morave Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-2	8	4	D
01/05	FK Petrvald na Morave Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-2	–	–	D

SK Zabreh

WDWDLDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
08/08	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
13/06	TJ Novy Jicin Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	7-2	–	–	W
05/06	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	8-1	–	–	W
31/05	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
24/05	MFK Havirov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-4	1	4	L
17/05	FK Petrvald na Morave Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	2-2	–	–	D
09/05	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
03/05	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	8	2	D
25/04	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pusta Polom vs SK Zabreh?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SK Zabreh win (45%). Probabilities: Pusta Polom 31%, draw 24%, SK Zabreh 45%.

How many goals are expected in Pusta Polom vs SK Zabreh?

The model expects 3.41 goals (Pusta Polom 1.54 · SK Zabreh 1.87), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Pusta Polom vs SK Zabreh?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.