Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 23/08, 16:30

Prediction: FC Spartak Velka Bites vs SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou

Team pages: FC Spartak Velka Bites · SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

FC Spartak Velka Bites1.87

SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou1.18

1X2

53% 24% 23%

FC Spartak Velka Bites Draw SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Spartak Velka Bites 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDDLWWWLLW

SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWWLLLLWLD

Head-to-head

FC Spartak Velka Bites 3–2–1 SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou (6 last)

FC Spartak Velka Bites2-0SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou
SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou0-3FC Spartak Velka Bites
FC Spartak Velka Bites5-1SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou
SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou0-0FC Spartak Velka Bites
SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou4-2FC Spartak Velka Bites
FC Spartak Velka Bites1-1SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Spartak Velka Bites 1536 · SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou 1450

	FC Spartak Velka Bites	Draw	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou
Our model	53%	25%	23%
Market	53%	23%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Spartak Velka Bites (rating 1536 vs 1450).
H2H favours FC Spartak Velka Bites: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Spartak Velka Bites	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.5	0.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	0.4 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.2	1.3 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.3	3.9 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.90

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Pinn 1.70
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.75 → 3.75	Pinn 3.91 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:26 +7’	1.67	3.90	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:27 +6’	1.70	3.72	3.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Spartak Velka Bites 3–2–1 SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/06/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Spartak Velka Bites	2-0 HT 1-0	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou
01/11/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou	0-3 HT 0-0	FC Spartak Velka Bites
07/06/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Spartak Velka Bites	5-1 HT 1-1	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou
03/11/24 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Spartak Velka Bites
29/03/24 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou	4-2 HT 1-1	FC Spartak Velka Bites
27/08/23 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Spartak Velka Bites	1-1 HT 1-0	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kravare	3	3	0	0	12	4	9
2	Opava B	3	2	1	0	9	4	7
3	Jiskra Rymarov	3	2	0	1	7	3	6
4	FK Bohumin	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
5	Hlucin	3	2	0	1	6	3	6
5	FC Vratimov	3	2	0	1	6	3	6
7	SK Zabreh	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
8	FK Sumperk	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
9	TJ Novy Jicin	3	1	1	1	5	7	4
10	Pusta Polom	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
11	SK Stonava	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
12	SSK Bilovec	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
13	TJ Valasske Mezirici	3	0	1	2	2	6	1
14	Frydek Mistek B	3	0	0	3	2	9	0
15	Bridlicna	3	0	0	3	2	10	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	3	0	0	3	2	11	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Spartak Velka Bites	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou
FS Trebic	1-0 W	0-0 D
TJ Tatran Bohunice	0-4 L	1-1 D
SC Znojmo	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Spartak Velka Bites

WDDLWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
09/08	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-4	8	1	L
13/06	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-3	–	–	L
07/06	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
31/05	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-1	2	4	W
23/05	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	10	3	W
17/05	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	1-3	–	–	L
10/05	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	2	7	D
01/05	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
25/04	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	4-1	6	5	W

SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou

DWWLLLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
09/08	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	4	3	L
13/06	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
07/06	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
31/05	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	1-4	–	–	L
24/05	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	1-5	3	5	L
17/05	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-3	6	5	L
10/05	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
03/05	TJ Dalnice Sperice Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	9	3	W
26/04	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	1	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Spartak Velka Bites vs SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Spartak Velka Bites win (53%). Probabilities: FC Spartak Velka Bites 53%, draw 24%, SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou 23%.

How many goals are expected in FC Spartak Velka Bites vs SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou?

The model expects 3.05 goals (FC Spartak Velka Bites 1.87 · SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou 1.18), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Spartak Velka Bites vs SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.