Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 16/08, 16:30

Prediction: Zdar nad Sazavou vs Sparta Brno

Team pages: Zdar nad Sazavou · Sparta Brno

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.6Total

Zdar nad Sazavou2.18

Sparta Brno1.42

1X2

54% 23% 24%

Zdar nad Sazavou Draw Sparta Brno

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Zdar nad Sazavou 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Sparta Brno 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Zdar nad Sazavou 2–0 Sparta Brno (2 last)

Zdar nad Sazavou2-0Sparta Brno
Sparta Brno0-1Zdar nad Sazavou

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zdar nad Sazavou 1434 · Sparta Brno 1485

	Zdar nad Sazavou	Draw	Sparta Brno
Our model	54%	22%	24%
Market	54%	23%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.6 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sparta Brno (rating 1434 vs 1485).
H2H favours Zdar nad Sazavou: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zdar nad Sazavou	Sparta Brno
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 3.4	2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.2	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 2.8	3.3 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.90

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.88

2 (+0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 1.1 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
19:20 +14’	1.67	3.90	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zdar nad Sazavou 2–0–0 Sparta Brno

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Zdar nad Sazavou	2-0 HT 1-0	Sparta Brno
09/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Sparta Brno	0-1 HT 0-0	Zdar nad Sazavou

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kravare	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
2	TJ Novy Jicin	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
2	FK Sumperk	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
4	Pusta Polom	1	1	0	0	3	0	3
5	FK Bohumin	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
5	SK Zabreh	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
7	Jiskra Rymarov	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
8	Hlucin	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
9	SSK Bilovec	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
9	Opava B	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
11	SK Stonava	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
13	FC Vratimov	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
13	Frydek Mistek B	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
15	Bridlicna	1	0	0	1	0	2	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	2	0	0	2	0	4	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zdar nad Sazavou	Sparta Brno
FC Kurim	0-2 L	1-3 L
SC Znojmo	1-10 L	1-5 L
FC Spartak Velka Bites	1-3 L	1-2 L
SK Artis Brno B	0-5 L	1-3 L
Velke Mezirici	0-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 5 L	0 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Sparta Brno (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Zdar nad Sazavou

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Dosta Bystrc Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-2	8	6	W
26/07	SK Olympia Rajecko Czechia Cup	0-1	1-4	1	2	L
15/07	Hlinsko Club Friendly List	1-0	1-2	2	1	L
13/06	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
05/06	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-4	1-10	0	1	L
31/05	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-3	2	4	L
24/05	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-5	0	1	L
16/05	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-3	5	0	L
08/05	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
03/05	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-3	–	–	D

Sparta Brno

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	TJ Sokol Lanzhot Czechia Cup	1-0	2-0	4	8	W
08/08	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-2	9	4	L
25/07	SFK Vrchovina Czechia Cup	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
22/07	Slovan Rosice Club Friendly List	2-0	9-0	11	2	W
13/06	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
06/06	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-3	6	4	L
31/05	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	1-5	–	–	L
23/05	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
20/05	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	4	3	L
08/05	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zdar nad Sazavou vs Sparta Brno?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zdar nad Sazavou win (54%). Probabilities: Zdar nad Sazavou 54%, draw 23%, Sparta Brno 24%.

How many goals are expected in Zdar nad Sazavou vs Sparta Brno?

The model expects 3.6 goals (Zdar nad Sazavou 2.18 · Sparta Brno 1.42), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Zdar nad Sazavou vs Sparta Brno?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.