Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 02/09, 16:30

Prediction: FC Brno II vs FC Vsetin

Team pages: FC Brno II · FC Vsetin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.89Total

FC Brno II2.59

FC Vsetin1.3

1X2

64% 19% 16%

FC Brno II Draw FC Vsetin

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Brno II 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLDWWW

FC Vsetin 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LWDLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

FC Brno II 3–0 FC Vsetin (3 last)

FC Vsetin1-3FC Brno II
FC Brno II3-0FC Vsetin
FC Brno II4-1FC Vsetin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Brno II 1528 · FC Vsetin 1457

	FC Brno II	Draw	FC Vsetin
Our model	64%	19%	17%
Market	64%	20%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.89 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Brno II (rating 1528 vs 1457).
H2H favours FC Brno II: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Brno II	FC Vsetin
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2.5	1.4 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.5 / 5.6	0.8 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.50

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.85

2 (+1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
03:57 +10’	1.40	4.50	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Brno II 3–0–0 FC Vsetin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Vsetin	1-3 HT 0-0	FC Brno II
10/09/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Brno II	3-0 HT 2-0	FC Vsetin
21/05/23 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Brno II	4-1 HT 0-1	FC Vsetin

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	5	4	1	0	9	0	13
2	Sigma Olomouc B	5	4	0	1	13	4	12
3	SK Unicov	5	4	0	1	10	5	12
4	Frydek Mistek	5	3	1	1	8	5	10
5	SFK Vrchovina	5	3	1	1	5	5	10
6	FC Brno II	5	3	1	1	11	13	10
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	5	3	0	2	17	12	9
8	CSK Uhersky Brod	5	3	0	2	8	6	9
9	Slovacko II	5	2	2	1	9	6	8
10	FC Trinity Zlin B	5	2	2	1	5	4	8
11	MFK Karvina B	5	2	1	2	8	7	7
12	SK Hranice	5	2	0	3	7	3	6
13	MFK Vitkovice	5	1	2	2	4	6	5
14	FK Hodonin	5	0	2	3	5	10	2
15	FK Blansko	5	0	2	3	7	16	2
16	MFK Havirov	5	0	2	3	4	13	2
17	Polanka	5	0	1	4	2	6	1
18	FC Vsetin	5	0	0	5	4	15	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Brno II	FC Vsetin
CSK Uhersky Brod	2-1 W	1-2 L
SK Unicov	2-1 W	1-2 L
Frydek Mistek	2-2 D	0-2 L
TJ Unie Hlubina	2-8 L	2-4 L
MFK Karvina B	0-2 L	1-2 L
Hlucin	1-6 L	0-1 L
FC Trinity Zlin B	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	0 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: FC Vsetin (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Brno II

WLLLWLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	8	5	W
23/08	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	7	3	W
16/08	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	8	5	W
09/08	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-2	4	3	D
31/07	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	2-6	2-8	6	4	L
12/06	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-1	4	3	W
06/06	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	5	2	L
31/05	Hlucin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-6	6	3	L
24/05	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
20/05	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	3-1	4	2	W

FC Vsetin

LWDLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-2	2	3	L
22/08	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	4	2	L
15/08	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	1	3	L
08/08	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	1-3	2-4	3	1	L
02/08	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-5	4	4	L
13/06	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
04/06	Hlucin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
30/05	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
24/05	TJ Start Brno Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	7-0	–	–	W
20/05	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-3	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Brno II vs FC Vsetin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Brno II win (64%). Probabilities: FC Brno II 64%, draw 19%, FC Vsetin 16%.

How many goals are expected in FC Brno II vs FC Vsetin?

The model expects 3.89 goals (FC Brno II 2.59 · FC Vsetin 1.3), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Brno II vs FC Vsetin?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.