Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 12/09, 10:30

Prediction: Velke Hamry vs Hradec Kralove B

Team pages: Velke Hamry · Hradec Kralove B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

Velke Hamry1.1

Hradec Kralove B1.7

1X2

24% 25% 51%

Velke Hamry Draw Hradec Kralove B

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Velke Hamry 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

DLLDLLLLLL

Hradec Kralove B 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWDDLD

Head-to-head

Velke Hamry 0–2 Hradec Kralove B (2 last)

Hradec Kralove B1-0Velke Hamry
Velke Hamry0-1Hradec Kralove B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Velke Hamry 1371 · Hradec Kralove B 1498

	Velke Hamry	Draw	Hradec Kralove B
Our model	23%	26%	50%
Market	25%	23%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hradec Kralove B (rating 1371 vs 1498).
H2H favours Hradec Kralove B: 2-0-0.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Velke Hamry	Hradec Kralove B
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2.7	1.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.1	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 5.1	1.3 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.3	4.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.80

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.88

2 (-0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
04:31 +4’	3.60	3.80	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Velke Hamry 0–0–2 Hradec Kralove B

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Hradec Kralove B	1-0 HT 1-0	Velke Hamry
14/09/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Velke Hamry	0-1 HT 0-1	Hradec Kralove B

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	7	6	1	0	13	0	19
2	FC Brno II	7	5	1	1	19	14	16
3	Frydek Mistek	7	4	2	1	12	6	14
4	TJ Unie Hlubina	7	4	1	2	22	14	13
5	SK Unicov	7	4	1	2	12	9	13
6	Sigma Olomouc B	7	4	0	3	13	8	12
7	FC Trinity Zlin B	7	3	3	1	10	6	12
8	Slovacko II	7	3	2	2	12	8	11
9	CSK Uhersky Brod	7	3	2	2	10	8	11
10	MFK Vitkovice	7	3	2	2	8	7	11
11	MFK Karvina B	7	3	1	3	9	10	10
12	SFK Vrchovina	7	3	1	3	6	9	10
13	SK Hranice	7	3	0	4	9	7	9
14	FK Hodonin	7	1	2	4	7	11	5
15	FK Blansko	7	0	3	4	9	21	3
16	FC Vsetin	7	1	0	6	5	20	3
17	Polanka	7	0	2	5	4	10	2
18	MFK Havirov	7	0	2	5	4	16	2

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Velke Hamry	Hradec Kralove B
Varnsdorf	1-3 L	0-5 L
Pardubice B	1-4 L	2-1 W
Benatky Nad Jizerou	0-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Hradec Kralove B (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Velke Hamry

DLLDLLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	3	5	L
29/08	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	11	2	L
23/08	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-6	–	–	L
15/08	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
08/08	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	13	7	L
06/06	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	0	3	L
30/05	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	6	6	D
24/05	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-4	1	4	L
20/05	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
16/05	Usti N Orlici Czechia 3. Liga	2-2	3-3	–	–	D

Hradec Kralove B

WLWWLWDDLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
29/08	FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
23/08	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
16/08	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
09/08	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
07/06	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	0-4	0-5	9	1	L
31/05	Slovan Velvary Czechia 3. Liga	4-0	7-0	13	7	W
27/05	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-2	5	7	W
23/05	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	2	7	L
17/05	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	5-0	3	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Velke Hamry vs Hradec Kralove B?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hradec Kralove B win (51%). Probabilities: Velke Hamry 24%, draw 25%, Hradec Kralove B 51%.

How many goals are expected in Velke Hamry vs Hradec Kralove B?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Velke Hamry 1.1 · Hradec Kralove B 1.7), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Velke Hamry vs Hradec Kralove B?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.