Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: SFK Vrchovina vs FC Brno II

Team pages: SFK Vrchovina · FC Brno II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.51Total

SFK Vrchovina1.44

FC Brno II2.07

1X2

26% 23% 51%

SFK Vrchovina Draw FC Brno II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

SFK Vrchovina 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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FC Brno II 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

SFK Vrchovina 2–2 FC Brno II (4 last)

FC Brno II2-0SFK Vrchovina
SFK Vrchovina4-2FC Brno II
FC Brno II2-1SFK Vrchovina
SFK Vrchovina2-1FC Brno II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SFK Vrchovina 1474 · FC Brno II 1544

	SFK Vrchovina	Draw	FC Brno II
Our model	26%	23%	51%
Market	26%	23%	51%

Estimated total (ours) 3.51 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Brno II (rating 1474 vs 1544).
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SFK Vrchovina	FC Brno II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.3	2.3 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	1.1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.4	3 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.1	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.50

X3.90

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)2.00

2 (-0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.50▲	Pinn 3.55
X	3.75 → 3.90▲	Bet365 3.90
2	1.91 → 1.75▼	Pinn 1.85 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
10:14 +33’	3.10	3.75	1.91
18:31 +28’	3.50▲	3.90▲	1.75▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:24 +155’	3.55	3.52	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SFK Vrchovina 2–0–2 FC Brno II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Brno II	2-0 HT 0-0	SFK Vrchovina
02/08/25 Czechia 3. Liga	SFK Vrchovina	4-2 HT 3-0	FC Brno II
29/05/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Brno II	2-1 HT 2-0	SFK Vrchovina
21/10/23 Czechia 4. Liga	SFK Vrchovina	2-1 HT 1-1	FC Brno II

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	7	6	1	0	13	0	19
2	FC Brno II	7	5	1	1	19	14	16
3	Frydek Mistek	7	4	2	1	12	6	14
4	TJ Unie Hlubina	7	4	1	2	22	14	13
5	SK Unicov	7	4	1	2	12	9	13
6	Sigma Olomouc B	7	4	0	3	13	8	12
7	FC Trinity Zlin B	7	3	3	1	10	6	12
8	Slovacko II	7	3	2	2	12	8	11
9	CSK Uhersky Brod	7	3	2	2	10	8	11
10	MFK Vitkovice	7	3	2	2	8	7	11
11	MFK Karvina B	7	3	1	3	9	10	10
12	SFK Vrchovina	7	3	1	3	6	9	10
13	SK Hranice	7	3	0	4	9	7	9
14	FK Hodonin	7	1	2	4	7	11	5
15	FK Blansko	7	0	3	4	9	21	3
16	FC Vsetin	7	1	0	6	5	20	3
17	Polanka	7	0	2	5	4	10	2
18	MFK Havirov	7	0	2	5	4	16	2

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SFK Vrchovina	FC Brno II
SK Hranice	0-1 L	3-1 W
MFK Karvina B	1-0 W	0-2 L
Hlucin	1-2 L	1-6 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SFK Vrchovina (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SFK Vrchovina

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
02/09	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	6	1	L
29/08	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	8	2	W
22/08	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
15/08	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	7	7	W
07/08	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	1	1	L
01/08	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-2	–	–	D
12/06	Hlucin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	9	1	L
06/06	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
30/05	TJ Start Brno Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	6-0	–	–	W

FC Brno II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	1	4	W
02/09	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	4-0	5-0	3	4	W
30/08	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	8	5	W
23/08	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	7	3	W
16/08	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	8	5	W
09/08	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-2	4	3	D
31/07	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	2-6	2-8	6	4	L
12/06	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-1	4	3	W
06/06	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	5	2	L
31/05	Hlucin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-6	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SFK Vrchovina vs FC Brno II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Brno II win (51%). Probabilities: SFK Vrchovina 26%, draw 23%, FC Brno II 51%.

How many goals are expected in SFK Vrchovina vs FC Brno II?

The model expects 3.51 goals (SFK Vrchovina 1.44 · FC Brno II 2.07), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SFK Vrchovina vs FC Brno II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.