Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: FK Hodonin vs SK Hranice

Team pages: FK Hodonin · SK Hranice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

FK Hodonin1.92

SK Hranice1.15

1X2

55% 23% 22%

FK Hodonin Draw SK Hranice

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Hodonin 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLDLDLWL

SK Hranice 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLWWLW

Head-to-head

FK Hodonin 4–1–1 SK Hranice (6 last)

SK Hranice1-3FK Hodonin
FK Hodonin3-0SK Hranice
SK Hranice3-4FK Hodonin
FK Hodonin2-0SK Hranice
FK Hodonin1-1SK Hranice
SK Hranice4-1FK Hodonin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Hodonin 1460 · SK Hranice 1452

	FK Hodonin	Draw	SK Hranice
Our model	54%	24%	21%
Market	55%	22%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Hodonin: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Hodonin	SK Hranice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.9	1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.2	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.1	2.8 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.00

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
04:49 +4’	1.61	4.00	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Hodonin 4–1–1 SK Hranice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/04/26 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Hranice	1-3 HT 1-1	FK Hodonin
13/09/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Hodonin	3-0 HT 2-0	SK Hranice
31/05/24 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Hranice	3-4 HT 2-0	FK Hodonin
28/10/23 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Hodonin	2-0 HT 1-0	SK Hranice
06/05/23 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Hodonin	1-1 HT 1-0	SK Hranice
09/10/22 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Hranice	4-1 HT 3-0	FK Hodonin

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	7	6	1	0	13	0	19
2	FC Brno II	7	5	1	1	19	14	16
3	Frydek Mistek	7	4	2	1	12	6	14
4	TJ Unie Hlubina	7	4	1	2	22	14	13
5	SK Unicov	7	4	1	2	12	9	13
6	Sigma Olomouc B	7	4	0	3	13	8	12
7	FC Trinity Zlin B	7	3	3	1	10	6	12
8	Slovacko II	7	3	2	2	12	8	11
9	CSK Uhersky Brod	7	3	2	2	10	8	11
10	MFK Vitkovice	7	3	2	2	8	7	11
11	MFK Karvina B	7	3	1	3	9	10	10
12	SFK Vrchovina	7	3	1	3	6	9	10
13	SK Hranice	7	3	0	4	9	7	9
14	FK Hodonin	7	1	2	4	7	11	5
15	FK Blansko	7	0	3	4	9	21	3
16	FC Vsetin	7	1	0	6	5	20	3
17	Polanka	7	0	2	5	4	10	2
18	MFK Havirov	7	0	2	5	4	16	2

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Hodonin	SK Hranice
MFK Karvina B	0-1 L	0-0 D
Sigma Olomouc B	2-0 W	0-4 L
Polanka	4-3 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Hodonin

WLLLDLDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	8	1	L
02/09	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	0	3	W
29/08	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	8	4	L
23/08	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
15/08	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	11	3	L
08/08	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	3-3	3	6	D
01/08	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-3	5	6	L
13/06	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-3	3	2	L
06/06	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	1	2	L
03/06	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	4-2	4-3	4	3	W

SK Hranice

DLLLLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	1	2	W
02/09	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-4	5	5	L
30/08	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
21/08	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	4-0	6-0	9	3	W
15/08	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
07/08	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
31/07	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	5	8	L
12/06	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	7	3	L
05/06	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
29/05	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	6	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Hodonin vs SK Hranice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Hodonin win (55%). Probabilities: FK Hodonin 55%, draw 23%, SK Hranice 22%.

How many goals are expected in FK Hodonin vs SK Hranice?

The model expects 3.07 goals (FK Hodonin 1.92 · SK Hranice 1.15), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Hodonin vs SK Hranice?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.