Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 12/09, 10:30

Prediction: FK Blansko vs MFK Vitkovice

Team pages: FK Blansko · MFK Vitkovice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

FK Blansko1.38

MFK Vitkovice1.8

1X2

29% 24% 47%

FK Blansko Draw MFK Vitkovice

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Blansko 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLWDDLLLDL

MFK Vitkovice 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLDDLWWW

Head-to-head

FK Blansko 2–2–1 MFK Vitkovice (5 last)

FK Blansko1-1MFK Vitkovice
MFK Vitkovice3-1FK Blansko
MFK Vitkovice2-3FK Blansko
FK Blansko4-0MFK Vitkovice
MFK Vitkovice2-2FK Blansko

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Blansko 1438 · MFK Vitkovice 1562

	FK Blansko	Draw	MFK Vitkovice
Our model	28%	25%	47%
Market	29%	24%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MFK Vitkovice (rating 1438 vs 1562).
H2H favours FK Blansko: 2-2-1.
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Blansko	MFK Vitkovice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 3.3	1.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.5	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.1	3.1 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	4.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.75

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:31 +5’	3.10	3.75	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Blansko 2–2–1 MFK Vitkovice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Blansko	1-1 HT 0-0	MFK Vitkovice
18/10/25 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Vitkovice	3-1 HT 3-1	FK Blansko
16/06/23 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Vitkovice	2-3 HT 2-2	FK Blansko
19/11/22 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Blansko	4-0 HT 2-0	MFK Vitkovice
11/02/20 Europe Friendlies	MFK Vitkovice	2-2 HT 1-2	FK Blansko

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	7	6	1	0	13	0	19
2	FC Brno II	7	5	1	1	19	14	16
3	Frydek Mistek	7	4	2	1	12	6	14
4	TJ Unie Hlubina	7	4	1	2	22	14	13
5	SK Unicov	7	4	1	2	12	9	13
6	Sigma Olomouc B	7	4	0	3	13	8	12
7	FC Trinity Zlin B	7	3	3	1	10	6	12
8	Slovacko II	7	3	2	2	12	8	11
9	CSK Uhersky Brod	7	3	2	2	10	8	11
10	MFK Vitkovice	7	3	2	2	8	7	11
11	MFK Karvina B	7	3	1	3	9	10	10
12	SFK Vrchovina	7	3	1	3	6	9	10
13	SK Hranice	7	3	0	4	9	7	9
14	FK Hodonin	7	1	2	4	7	11	5
15	FK Blansko	7	0	3	4	9	21	3
16	FC Vsetin	7	1	0	6	5	20	3
17	Polanka	7	0	2	5	4	10	2
18	MFK Havirov	7	0	2	5	4	16	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Blansko	MFK Vitkovice
Polanka	1-1 D	0-0 D
Slovacko II	2-4 L	1-0 W
FK Hodonin	3-3 D	2-0 W
SFK Vrchovina	2-2 D	0-1 L
Trinec	0-5 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: MFK Vitkovice (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Blansko

LLWDDLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-4	4	2	L
02/09	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
29/08	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-4	5	2	L
23/08	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	4	3	L
16/08	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-3	2-4	6	1	L
08/08	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-3	8	6	D
01/08	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-2	–	–	D
13/06	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-2	6	2	W
06/06	Trinec Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	0-5	2	2	L
31/05	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-5	3	1	L

MFK Vitkovice

LWWLDDLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	10	1	W
02/09	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-1	3	7	W
29/08	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
22/08	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
16/08	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	8	8	D
08/08	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	15	3	D
01/08	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	1-4	2	11	L
11/06	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	5-1	12	1	W
06/06	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
30/05	Trinec Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Blansko vs MFK Vitkovice?

According to our model, the most likely result is an MFK Vitkovice win (47%). Probabilities: FK Blansko 29%, draw 24%, MFK Vitkovice 47%.

How many goals are expected in FK Blansko vs MFK Vitkovice?

The model expects 3.18 goals (FK Blansko 1.38 · MFK Vitkovice 1.8), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Blansko vs MFK Vitkovice?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.