Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 14/08, 18:00

Prediction: FC Strani vs FK Kozlovice

Team pages: FC Strani · FK Kozlovice

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.25Total
FC Strani1.84
FK Kozlovice1.41
1X2
47% 24% 29%
FC Strani Draw FK Kozlovice
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Strani 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LLDWWWLWLW
FK Kozlovice 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WDLWWWWLDW
Head-to-head
FC Strani 1–1–4 FK Kozlovice (6 last)
  • FK Kozlovice4-2FC Strani
  • FC Strani1-3FK Kozlovice
  • FK Kozlovice1-1FC Strani
  • FC Strani2-0FK Kozlovice
  • FK Kozlovice4-0FC Strani
  • FK Kozlovice2-0FC Strani
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Strani 1511 · FK Kozlovice 1564
FC StraniDrawFK Kozlovice
Our model47%25%29%
Market47%24%29%
Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Kozlovice (rating 1511 vs 1564).
  • H2H favours FK Kozlovice: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC StraniFK Kozlovice
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.52.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.61 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 5.61.5 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 03.8 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Strani 114 FK Kozlovice

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/04/26
Czechia 4. Liga
FK Kozlovice4-2
HT 1-2
FC Strani
14/09/25
Czechia 4. Liga
FC Strani1-3
HT 1-1
FK Kozlovice
17/04/24
Czechia 4. Liga
FK Kozlovice1-1
HT 1-1
FC Strani
28/09/23
Czechia 4. Liga
FC Strani2-0
HT 0-0
FK Kozlovice
05/09/21
Czechia 4. Liga
FK Kozlovice4-0
HT 2-0
FC Strani
06/09/20
Czechia 4. Liga
FK Kozlovice2-0
HT 2-0
FC Strani

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Pusta Polom 1100 303
2 Kravare 1100 313
3 FK Bohumin 1100 203
3 SK Zabreh 1100 203
5 FK Sumperk 1100 213
5 Jiskra Rymarov 1100 213
7 TJ Novy Jicin 1010 221
7 SK Stonava 1010 221
9 SSK Bilovec 1010 111
9 Opava B 1010 111
11 FC Vratimov 1001 120
11 Frydek Mistek B 1001 120
13 TJ Valasske Mezirici 1001 130
14 Hlucin 1001 020
14 Bridlicna 1001 020
16 Frydlant Nad Ostravici 1001 030

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC StraniFK Kozlovice
Breclav 3-1 W 1-0 W
Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B 2-0 W 3-0 W
Sternberk 1-1 D 3-1 W
FC Brumov 0-4 L 5-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FK Kozlovice (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Strani

LLDWWWLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Hluk
Czechia 4. Liga
2-0 3-1 61 W
24/07 FC Vsetin
Czechia Cup
0-1 1-2 76 L
12/06 SFK Holesov
Czechia 4. Liga
0-0 3-1 W
07/06 TJ Sokol Lanzhot
Czechia 4. Liga
0-1 0-1 77 L
31/05 Tatran Vsechovice
Czechia 4. Liga
1-0 3-0 55 W
16/05 Breclav
Czechia 4. Liga
0-0 3-1 40 W
10/05 Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B
Czechia 4. Liga
0-0 2-0 82 W
01/05 Sternberk
Czechia 4. Liga
0-1 1-1 D
26/04 FC Brumov
Czechia 4. Liga
0-2 0-4 37 L
19/04 FK Kozlovice
Czechia 4. Liga
2-1 2-4 54 L

FK Kozlovice

WDLWWWWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Bzenec
Czechia 4. Liga
3-1 5-1 42 W
26/07 Frydek Mistek
Czechia Cup
0-0 0-0 37 D
18/07 FK Blansko
Club Friendly List
1-1 1-3 30 L
10/06 Breclav
Czechia 4. Liga
0-0 1-0 75 W
07/06 TJ Skastice
Czechia 4. Liga
3-1 5-1 64 W
03/06 Sternberk
Czechia 4. Liga
1-0 3-1 55 W
31/05 Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B
Czechia 4. Liga
1-0 3-0 W
23/05 CSK Uhersky Brod
Czechia 4. Liga
0-0 0-1 L
08/05 Slavicin
Czechia 4. Liga
0-0 0-0 14 D
03/05 FC Brumov
Czechia 4. Liga
1-1 5-1 55 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Strani vs FK Kozlovice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Strani win (47%). Probabilities: FC Strani 47%, draw 24%, FK Kozlovice 29%.

How many goals are expected in FC Strani vs FK Kozlovice?

The model expects 3.25 goals (FC Strani 1.84 · FK Kozlovice 1.41), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Strani vs FK Kozlovice?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.