Prediction: Fernando de la Mora vs Paraguari AC
Expected goals: 2.25 (Fernando de la Mora 1.28 · Paraguari AC 0.97). The model gives 43% home, 30% draw, 27% away. Under 2.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Fernando de la Mora sits at 4-2-4 (W-D-L), while Paraguari AC arrives on a 1-3-6 run.
| Fernando de la Mora | Draw | Paraguari AC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 31% | 27% |
| Market | 43% | 29% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fernando de la Mora (rating 1494 vs 1440).
- Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fernando de la Mora | Paraguari AC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.5 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.3 | 2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.6 | 5.5 / 0.4 |
Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | General Caballero JLM | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 20 | 24 |
| 4 | Deportivo Santaní | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | Guairena FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 21 |
| 6 | Sol de America | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 21 |
| 7 | Deportivo Capiata | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 21 |
| 8 | Independiente FBC | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 19 |
| 9 | Club Atlético Tembetary | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 18 |
| 10 | Resistencia FC | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 17 |
| 11 | Carapegua | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 15 |
| 12 | Fernando de la Mora | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 14 |
| 13 | Tacuary | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 12 |
| 14 | Paraguari AC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 9 |
| 15 | Encarnacion FC | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 21 | 8 |
| 16 | 3 de Noviembre | 13 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fernando de la Mora | Paraguari AC |
|---|---|---|
| 3 de Noviembre | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| General Caballero JLM | 3-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Guairena FC | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Resistencia FC | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Sol de America | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Tacuary | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Club Atlético Tembetary | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Club Dr Benjamin Aceval | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 3 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Fernando de la Mora (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fernando de la Mora
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | 3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 27/06 | General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 06/06 | Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 19/05 | Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 04/05 | Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
Paraguari AC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | 3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 04/06 | Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 31/05 | General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 25/05 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 8 | L |
| 17/05 | Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 08/05 | Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fernando de la Mora vs Paraguari AC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fernando de la Mora win (43%). Probabilities: Fernando de la Mora 43%, draw 30%, Paraguari AC 27%.
How many goals are expected in Fernando de la Mora vs Paraguari AC?
The model expects 2.25 goals (Fernando de la Mora 1.28 · Paraguari AC 0.97), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Fernando de la Mora vs Paraguari AC?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.