Prediction: 3 de Noviembre vs Deportivo Santaní

Expected goals: 2.06 (3 de Noviembre 0.72 · Deportivo Santaní 1.34). The model gives 20% home, 29% draw, 51% away. Under 2.25 goals (56%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 0-1.

On recent form, 3 de Noviembre is 0-5-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Deportivo Santaní 5-3-2 over its own.

51%2
20% 29% 51%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · 3 de Noviembre 1442 · Deportivo Santaní 1549
3 de NoviembreDrawDeportivo Santaní
Our model19%31%50%
Market20%27%52%
Estimated total (ours) 2.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.063 de Noviembre 0.72 · Deportivo Santaní 1.34
Over / Under 2.25Under 2.25 · 56%
BTTSNo · 53%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Santaní (rating 1442 vs 1549).
  • High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 12.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

3 de NoviembreDeportivo Santaní
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.61.1 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.70.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 5.33.2 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.7 / 0.55.6 / 0.1

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 13832 231227
2 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 13832 201127
3 General Caballero JLM 13733 292024
4 Deportivo Santaní 13634 141121
5 Guairena FC 13634 161621
6 Sol de America 13562 161121
7 Deportivo Capiata 13562 201521
8 Independiente FBC 13544 191719
9 Club Atlético Tembetary 13535 201918
10 Resistencia FC 13454 151717
11 Carapegua 13436 152515
12 Fernando de la Mora 13427 132014
13 Tacuary 13265 172112
14 Paraguari AC 13238 10169
15 Encarnacion FC 13229 13218
16 3 de Noviembre 13076 12207

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent3 de NoviembreDeportivo Santaní
General Caballero JLM 2-3 L 2-1 W
Guairena FC 1-2 L 2-0 W
Resistencia FC 1-1 D 3-0 W
Sol de America 0-2 L 0-0 D
Deportivo Capiata 0-0 D 1-0 W
Independiente FBC 0-2 L 2-0 W
Tacuary 2-2 D 0-0 D
Club Atlético Tembetary 0-1 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 3 D 5 L 5 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Santaní (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

3 de Noviembre

LDLDLDLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 Fernando de la Mora
Paraguay Division Intermedia
0-0 2-2 59 D
28/06 Paraguari AC
Paraguay Division Intermedia
1-0 1-1 76 D
09/06 General Caballero JLM
Paraguay Division Intermedia
1-1 2-3 19 L
01/06 Guairena FC
Paraguay Division Intermedia
1-1 1-2 38 L
24/05 Resistencia FC
Paraguay Division Intermedia
0-1 1-1 410 D
20/05 Sol de America
Paraguay Division Intermedia
0-1 0-2 107 L
14/05 Deportivo Capiata
Paraguay Division Intermedia
0-0 0-0 75 D
09/05 Independiente FBC
Paraguay Division Intermedia
0-2 0-2 74 L
02/05 Tacuary
Paraguay Division Intermedia
1-0 2-2 46 D
27/04 Club Atlético Tembetary
Paraguay Division Intermedia
0-1 0-1 58 L

Deportivo Santaní

LLDDWWDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 General Caballero JLM
Paraguay Division Intermedia
1-0 2-1 55 W
01/07 Guairena FC
Paraguay Division Intermedia
1-0 2-0 58 W
04/06 Resistencia FC
Paraguay Division Intermedia
0-0 3-0 46 W
29/05 Sol de America
Paraguay Division Intermedia
0-0 0-0 33 D
23/05 Deportivo Capiata
Paraguay Division Intermedia
0-0 1-0 74 W
19/05 Independiente FBC
Paraguay Division Intermedia
1-0 2-0 42 W
15/05 Tacuary
Paraguay Division Intermedia
0-0 0-0 96 D
11/05 Club Atlético Tembetary
Paraguay Division Intermedia
0-1 1-1 67 D
05/05 Club Dr Benjamin Aceval
Paraguay Division Intermedia
0-1 0-2 159 L
28/04 Carapegua
Paraguay Division Intermedia
0-1 0-1 57 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in 3 de Noviembre vs Deportivo Santaní?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Santaní win (51%). Probabilities: 3 de Noviembre 20%, draw 29%, Deportivo Santaní 51%.

How many goals are expected in 3 de Noviembre vs Deportivo Santaní?

The model expects 2.06 goals (3 de Noviembre 0.72 · Deportivo Santaní 1.34), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in 3 de Noviembre vs Deportivo Santaní?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.