Prediction: Independiente FBC vs Tacuary
Expected goals: 2.89 (Independiente FBC 1.73 · Tacuary 1.16). The model gives 49% home, 26% draw, 24% away. Over 2.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Independiente FBC sits at 4-2-4 (W-D-L), while Tacuary arrives on a 2-5-3 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Independiente FBC and 3 for Tacuary, with 1 draw.
| Independiente FBC | Draw | Tacuary | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 26% | 24% |
| Market | 49% | 27% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Tacuary: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Independiente FBC | Tacuary | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.5 | 1.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.7 | 1.6 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.1 | 5.2 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Independiente FBC 2–1–3 Tacuary
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Tacuary | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Independiente FBC |
| 14/05/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Independiente FBC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Tacuary |
| 17/09/21 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Independiente FBC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Tacuary |
| 13/06/21 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Tacuary | 1-3 | Independiente FBC |
| 24/07/15 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Independiente FBC | 3-1 | Tacuary |
| 19/04/15 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Tacuary | 1-1 | Independiente FBC |
Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | General Caballero JLM | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 20 | 24 |
| 4 | Deportivo Santaní | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | Guairena FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 21 |
| 6 | Sol de America | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 21 |
| 7 | Deportivo Capiata | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 21 |
| 8 | Independiente FBC | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 19 |
| 9 | Club Atlético Tembetary | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 18 |
| 10 | Resistencia FC | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 17 |
| 11 | Carapegua | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 15 |
| 12 | Fernando de la Mora | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 14 |
| 13 | Tacuary | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 12 |
| 14 | Paraguari AC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 9 |
| 15 | Encarnacion FC | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 21 | 8 |
| 16 | 3 de Noviembre | 13 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 7 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Independiente FBC | Tacuary |
|---|---|---|
| Club Atlético Tembetary | 2-2 D | 4-2 W |
| Club Dr Benjamin Aceval | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Carapegua | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Encarnacion FC | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Deportivo Santaní | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Fernando de la Mora | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| 3 de Noviembre | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| General Caballero JLM | 2-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 4 L | 1 W 5 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Independiente FBC (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Independiente FBC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 30/06 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 23/05 | Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/05 | Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | 3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia |
2-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
Tacuary
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 19/05 | Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 15/05 | Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | 3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Independiente FBC vs Tacuary?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Independiente FBC win (49%). Probabilities: Independiente FBC 49%, draw 26%, Tacuary 24%.
How many goals are expected in Independiente FBC vs Tacuary?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Independiente FBC 1.73 · Tacuary 1.16), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Independiente FBC vs Tacuary?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.