Football · Australia Capital Territory Premier League · 08/08, 06:30

Prediction: Canberra Olympic vs Tigers FC

Team pages: Canberra Olympic · Tigers FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.86Total

Canberra Olympic1.57

Tigers FC2.3

1X2

26% 20% 54%

Canberra Olympic Draw Tigers FC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Canberra Olympic 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Tigers FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Canberra Olympic 1–1–4 Tigers FC (6 last)

Tigers FC3-2Canberra Olympic
Canberra Olympic0-1Tigers FC
Canberra Olympic1-4Tigers FC
Tigers FC3-1Canberra Olympic
Canberra Olympic1-0Tigers FC
Tigers FC2-2Canberra Olympic

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Canberra Olympic 1449 · Tigers FC 1569

	Canberra Olympic	Draw	Tigers FC
Our model	25%	21%	53%
Market	26%	19%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 3.86 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tigers FC (rating 1449 vs 1569).
H2H favours Tigers FC: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Canberra Olympic	Tigers FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.4	2.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4	2.3 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.3	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.40

X4.75

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)2.00

2 (-0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 07:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 3.40▼	Bet365 3.40
X	5.00 → 4.75▼	Bet365 4.75
2	1.50 → 1.65▲	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
03:32 +6’	4.00	5.00	1.50
05:58 +9’	3.40▼	4.75▼	1.65▲
06:47 +7’	4.00▲	5.00▲	1.50▼
07:27 +7’	3.40▼	4.75▼	1.65▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Canberra Olympic 1–1–4 Tigers FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	Tigers FC	3-2 HT 0-1	Canberra Olympic
10/08/24 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	Canberra Olympic	0-1 HT 0-0	Tigers FC
15/06/24 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	Canberra Olympic	1-4 HT 1-1	Tigers FC
27/04/24 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	Tigers FC	3-1 HT 2-0	Canberra Olympic
19/08/23 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	Canberra Olympic	1-0 HT 1-0	Tigers FC
24/06/23 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	Tigers FC	2-2 HT 2-0	Canberra Olympic

Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Canberra Croatia FC	17	14	1	2	52	18	43
2	Monaro Panthers	17	13	1	3	57	23	40
3	Tigers FC	18	12	2	4	48	21	38
4	Tuggeranong Utd	18	12	0	6	41	39	36
5	Queanbeyan City	18	10	2	6	39	27	32
6	Canberra Juventus	17	10	0	7	34	33	30
7	Canberra Olympic	17	5	2	10	35	45	17
8	O'Connor Knights	17	5	2	10	17	32	17
9	Belconnen United	17	2	3	12	24	36	9
10	Brindabella Blues FC	17	3	0	14	10	49	9
11	Canberra White Eagles	17	2	1	14	14	48	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Canberra Olympic	Tigers FC
Tuggeranong Utd	1-2 L	4-1 W
Queanbeyan City	2-2 D	2-2 D
Canberra White Eagles	2-1 W	2-0 W
Canberra Croatia FC	0-3 L	1-1 D
O'Connor Knights	0-1 L	1-0 W
Monaro Panthers	2-5 L	0-2 L
Canberra Juventus	2-3 L	5-1 W
Belconnen United	4-4 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 5 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tigers FC (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Canberra Olympic

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	1-2	4	2	L
25/07	Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	2-2	4	3	D
11/07	Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-0	2-1	5	5	W
05/07	Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	0-3	1	2	L
27/06	O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
20/06	Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-2	2-5	2	4	L
10/06	Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-2	2-3	2	15	L
30/05	Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	3-0	8	3	W
23/05	Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-2	4-4	6	3	D
16/05	Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	2-3	3	4	L

Tigers FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
25/07	Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-0	4-1	4	2	W
22/07	Western Sydney Wanderers Australia Cup	0-0	0-2	1	6	L
11/07	Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	2-2	3	1	D
04/07	Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	2-0	8	3	W
27/06	Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
20/06	Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
14/06	Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-0	5-1	3	2	W
10/06	O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
06/06	Canberra Croatia FC Australia Cup Qualifying	1-1	5-1	2	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Canberra Olympic vs Tigers FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tigers FC win (54%). Probabilities: Canberra Olympic 26%, draw 20%, Tigers FC 54%.

How many goals are expected in Canberra Olympic vs Tigers FC?

The model expects 3.86 goals (Canberra Olympic 1.57 · Tigers FC 2.3), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Canberra Olympic vs Tigers FC?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.