Prediction: Paysandu FC vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo
| Paysandu FC | Draw | Atletico Fenix Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 29% | 40% |
| Market | 32% | 28% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico Fenix Montevideo (rating 1453 vs 1532).
- Cards-heavy: 13 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Paysandu FC | Atletico Fenix Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.7 | 1.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.8 | 2.4 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 7.2 / 0.3 | 5.8 / 0.5 |
Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Colon FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Miramar Misiones | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 6 | Paysandu FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Paysandu FC | Atletico Fenix Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Rentistas | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Miramar Misiones | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Tacuarembo | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Plaza Colonia | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| CA River Plate | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Huracan DPA | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Atletico Fenix Montevideo (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paysandu FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 20/06 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 14 | L |
| 14/06 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 06/06 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 26/04 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
Atletico Fenix Montevideo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
2-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 11 | L |
| 20/06 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 31/05 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 25/05 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 17/05 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 11 | W |
| 03/05 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paysandu FC vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Atletico Fenix Montevideo win (40%). Probabilities: Paysandu FC 31%, draw 28%, Atletico Fenix Montevideo 40%.
How many goals are expected in Paysandu FC vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Paysandu FC 1.18 · Atletico Fenix Montevideo 1.37), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Paysandu FC vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.