Football · Uruguay Segunda · 18/07, 19:00
Prediction: Rentistas vs Cerrito
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Rentistas1.25
Cerrito1.07
1X2
Rentistas
Draw
Cerrito
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Rentistas
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Cerrito
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rentistas
3–3
Cerrito
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rentistas 1488 · Cerrito 1545
| Rentistas | Draw | Cerrito | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 31% | 30% |
| Market | 40% | 29% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cerrito (rating 1488 vs 1545).
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 13.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rentistas | Cerrito | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/44/22% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6 | 3 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.3 / 0.6 | 7.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rentistas 3–0–3 Cerrito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/25 Uruguay Segunda | Rentistas | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Cerrito |
| 31/05/25 Uruguay Segunda | Cerrito | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Rentistas |
| 27/04/25 Uruguay Segunda | Cerrito | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Rentistas |
| 18/08/24 Uruguay Segunda | Cerrito | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Rentistas |
| 18/05/24 Uruguay Segunda | Rentistas | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Cerrito |
| 13/04/24 Uruguay Segunda | Rentistas | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Cerrito |
Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Colon FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Miramar Misiones | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 6 | Paysandu FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rentistas | Cerrito |
|---|---|---|
| CA Atenas | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Paysandu FC | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Huracan DPA | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Uruguay Montevideo | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Club Oriental | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| CA River Plate | 1-2 L | 4-6 L |
| Miramar Misiones | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Tacuarembo | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 3 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rentistas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 11 | W |
| 04/07 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 21/06 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 14/06 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 10 | L |
| 31/05 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 10/05 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Cerrito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 05/07 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 21/06 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 11 | L |
| 14/06 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
3-5 | 4-6 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 07/06 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 24/05 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 16/05 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 10/05 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
2-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rentistas vs Cerrito?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rentistas win (39%). Probabilities: Rentistas 39%, draw 30%, Cerrito 31%.
How many goals are expected in Rentistas vs Cerrito?
The model expects 2.32 goals (Rentistas 1.25 · Cerrito 1.07), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Rentistas vs Cerrito?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.