Football · Uruguay Segunda · 12/07, 20:00

Prediction: Cerrito vs Miramar Misiones

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
Cerrito1.32
Miramar Misiones1.29
1X2
36% 29% 35%
Cerrito Draw Miramar Misiones
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Cerrito 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DDDWWWLLWD
Miramar Misiones 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
DDLDWDWLWD
Head-to-head
Cerrito 1–4–1 Miramar Misiones (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cerrito 1523 · Miramar Misiones 1516
CerritoDrawMiramar Misiones
Our model36%29%35%
Market36%29%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 13.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CerritoMiramar Misiones
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.41.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.70.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 5.81.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)7.2 / 0.26.4 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cerrito 141 Miramar Misiones

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
05/11/23
Uruguay Segunda
Cerrito1-6
HT 0-1
Miramar Misiones
19/06/23
Uruguay Segunda
Miramar Misiones2-2
HT 1-2
Cerrito
02/04/23
Uruguay Segunda
Cerrito2-2
HT 1-0
Miramar Misiones
18/08/18
Uruguay Segunda
Cerrito1-1
HT 0-0
Miramar Misiones
24/03/18
Uruguay Segunda
Miramar Misiones1-1
HT 0-0
Cerrito
13/09/17
Uruguay Segunda
Cerrito1-0
HT 0-0
Miramar Misiones

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Oriental 6411 8513
2 Plaza Colonia 6330 9212
3 Colon FC 6231 859
4 Rentistas 6231 659
5 Miramar Misiones 6123 375
6 Paysandu FC 6114 474
7 CA River Plate 6114 6134

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCerritoMiramar Misiones
CA River Plate 4-6 L 1-1 D
CA Atenas 2-1 W 1-1 D
Paysandu FC 1-0 W 3-2 W
Huracan DPA 2-0 W 0-1 L
Uruguay Montevideo 2-2 D 3-1 W
Club Oriental 2-2 D 2-2 D
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 1 L 2 W 3 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cerrito

DDDWWWLLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 45 D
28/06 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 86 W
21/06 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-2 811 L
14/06 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
3-5 4-6 78 L
07/06 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-1 66 W
30/05 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 57 W
24/05 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 2-0 27 W
16/05 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-2 59 D
10/05 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
2-1 2-2 88 D
25/04 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-1 57 D

Miramar Misiones

DDLDWDWLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/07 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-1 63 D
28/06 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 3-2 48 W
19/06 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-1 65 L
13/06 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 3-1 28 W
08/06 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 2-2 78 D
31/05 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 3-1 38 W
25/05 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-1 27 D
17/05 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-1 48 L
10/05 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 17 D
30/04 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-1 55 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cerrito vs Miramar Misiones?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cerrito win (36%). Probabilities: Cerrito 36%, draw 29%, Miramar Misiones 35%.

How many goals are expected in Cerrito vs Miramar Misiones?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Cerrito 1.32 · Miramar Misiones 1.29), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Cerrito vs Miramar Misiones?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.