Prediction: La Luz vs Tacuarembo
| La Luz | Draw | Tacuarembo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 37% | 25% |
| Market | 41% | 31% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours La Luz: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| La Luz | Tacuarembo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 33/44/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4 | 2 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.7 | 6.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · La Luz 2–3–1 Tacuarembo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/26 Uruguay Segunda | Tacuarembo | 1-1 HT 1-1 | La Luz |
| 31/08/25 Uruguay Segunda | Tacuarembo | 1-1 | La Luz |
| 07/06/25 Uruguay Segunda | La Luz | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Tacuarembo |
| 30/03/25 Uruguay Segunda | Tacuarembo | 1-1 HT 0-1 | La Luz |
| 29/09/24 Uruguay Segunda | La Luz | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Tacuarembo |
| 16/06/24 Uruguay Segunda | Tacuarembo | 0-1 | La Luz |
Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 11 |
| 2 | Huracan DPA | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Uruguay Montevideo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Cerrito | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 5 | La Luz | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 6 | CA Atenas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
| 7 | Tacuarembo | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | La Luz | Tacuarembo |
|---|---|---|
| Cerrito | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| CA Atenas | 0-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Paysandu FC | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Huracan DPA | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Uruguay Montevideo | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Club Oriental | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Colon FC | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: La Luz (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
La Luz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 10 | L |
| 28/06 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 11 | W |
| 14/06 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-2 | 0-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 24/05 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 18/05 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 19/04 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
Tacuarembo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 20/06 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 14 | W |
| 13/06 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 01/06 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in La Luz vs Tacuarembo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a La Luz win (39%). Probabilities: La Luz 39%, draw 34%, Tacuarembo 27%.
How many goals are expected in La Luz vs Tacuarembo?
The model expects 1.61 goals (La Luz 0.92 · Tacuarembo 0.69), with a 56% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in La Luz vs Tacuarembo?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.