Prediction: Sporting San Miguelito vs Alianza FC Panama
Team pages: Sporting San Miguelito · Alianza FC Panama
- Alianza FC Panama3-2Sporting San Miguelito
- Sporting San Miguelito1-0Alianza FC Panama
- Sporting San Miguelito2-1Alianza FC Panama
- Alianza FC Panama2-1Sporting San Miguelito
- Sporting San Miguelito2-0Alianza FC Panama
- Alianza FC Panama1-2Sporting San Miguelito
| Sporting San Miguelito | Draw | Alianza FC Panama | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 28% | 55% |
| Market | 18% | 25% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alianza FC Panama (rating 1456 vs 1502).
- H2H favours Sporting San Miguelito: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sporting San Miguelito | Alianza FC Panama | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.2 | 1.6 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.7 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting San Miguelito 4–0–2 Alianza FC Panama
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Panama LPF | Alianza FC Panama | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Sporting San Miguelito |
| 12/02/26 Panama LPF | Sporting San Miguelito | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Alianza FC Panama |
| 19/10/25 Panama LPF | Sporting San Miguelito | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Alianza FC Panama |
| 28/07/25 Panama LPF | Alianza FC Panama | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Sporting San Miguelito |
| 04/05/25 Panama LPF | Sporting San Miguelito | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Alianza FC Panama |
| 21/02/25 Panama LPF | Alianza FC Panama | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Sporting San Miguelito |
Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, East
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plaza Amador | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Alianza FC Panama | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Tauro FC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 3 | UMECIT | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 5 | CD Arabe Unido | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 6 | Sporting San Miguelito | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sporting San Miguelito | Alianza FC Panama |
|---|---|---|
| Plaza Amador | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Tauro FC | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| UMECIT | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| CD Arabe Unido | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Veraguas CD | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 4 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Alianza FC Panama (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sporting San Miguelito
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Plaza Amador Panama LPF |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 28/07 | Tauro FC Panama LPF |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 26/04 | Tauro FC Panama LPF |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 20/04 | Plaza Amador Panama LPF |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 14/04 | UMECIT Panama LPF |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 12 | D |
| 06/04 | CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 30/03 | San Francisco FC Panama LPF |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 23/03 | Veraguas CD Panama LPF |
2-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 15/03 | Herrera FC Panama LPF |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
Alianza FC Panama
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Deportivo Saprissa CONCACAF Central American Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | UMECIT Panama LPF |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Plaza Amador Panama LPF |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 17/05 | Veraguas CD Panama LPF |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Veraguas CD Panama LPF |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 18/04 | Tauro FC Panama LPF |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sporting San Miguelito vs Alianza FC Panama?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Alianza FC Panama win (56%). Probabilities: Sporting San Miguelito 17%, draw 27%, Alianza FC Panama 56%.
How many goals are expected in Sporting San Miguelito vs Alianza FC Panama?
The model expects 2.26 goals (Sporting San Miguelito 0.73 · Alianza FC Panama 1.54), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sporting San Miguelito vs Alianza FC Panama?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.