Football · Panama LPF · 18/08, 03:30

Prediction: Tauro FC vs CD Arabe Unido

Team pages: Tauro FC · CD Arabe Unido

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.57Total

Tauro FC1.3

CD Arabe Unido1.27

1X2

35% 31% 34%

Tauro FC Draw CD Arabe Unido

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Tauro FC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWDLLDDL

CD Arabe Unido 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLDDLDLD

Head-to-head

Tauro FC 2–1–3 CD Arabe Unido (6 last)

Tauro FC4-0CD Arabe Unido
CD Arabe Unido1-0Tauro FC
CD Arabe Unido4-1Tauro FC
Tauro FC1-1CD Arabe Unido
Tauro FC2-1CD Arabe Unido
CD Arabe Unido1-0Tauro FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tauro FC 1474 · CD Arabe Unido 1499

	Tauro FC	Draw	CD Arabe Unido
Our model	36%	29%	35%
Market	35%	32%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CD Arabe Unido: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 12.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tauro FC	CD Arabe Unido
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.4	0.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.5	2.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.1 / 0.2	6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.60

X2.80

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.60▲	Bet365 2.60
X	2.88 → 2.80▼	Pinn 3.36 ★
2	3.10 → 2.70▼	Pinn 2.81

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 9.8%

Time*	1	X	2
06:50 +1’	2.25	2.88	3.10
21:27 +15’	2.60▲	2.80▼	2.70▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:54	2.32	2.97	3.09
21:41 +1’	2.25▼	3.36▲	2.81▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tauro FC 2–1–3 CD Arabe Unido

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Panama LPF	Tauro FC	4-0 HT 0-0	CD Arabe Unido
08/02/26 Panama LPF	CD Arabe Unido	1-0 HT 0-0	Tauro FC
09/11/25 Panama LPF	CD Arabe Unido	4-1 HT 2-1	Tauro FC
16/08/25 Panama LPF	Tauro FC	1-1 HT 0-0	CD Arabe Unido
04/05/25 Panama LPF	Tauro FC	2-1 HT 1-0	CD Arabe Unido
02/02/25 Panama LPF	CD Arabe Unido	1-0 HT 0-0	Tauro FC

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Plaza Amador	3	2	1	0	7	4	7
2	Alianza FC Panama	3	1	2	0	1	0	5
3	Sporting San Miguelito	4	1	2	1	1	2	5
4	UMECIT	4	0	3	1	1	2	3
5	Tauro FC	3	0	2	1	3	4	2
6	CD Arabe Unido	3	0	2	1	2	3	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tauro FC	CD Arabe Unido
Plaza Amador	2-3 L	2-2 D
UMECIT	1-1 D	0-0 D
Sporting San Miguelito	0-0 D	1-0 W
Alianza FC Panama	1-1 D	0-1 L
CD Universitario	2-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tauro FC

WWLWDLLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	1-2	2-3	6	6	L
02/08	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-1	1-1	5	9	D
28/07	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	9	6	D
03/05	UMECIT Panama LPF	2-2	2-5	5	5	L
26/04	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	0-1	0-2	11	4	L
18/04	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
11/04	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-0	4-0	0	7	W
05/04	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	0-0	0-1	7	8	L
28/03	CD Universitario Panama LPF	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
21/03	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	0-0	4-1	3	7	W

CD Arabe Unido

WWWLDDLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	7	8	D
01/08	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
25/07	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	2-0	2-2	1	6	D
03/05	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	0-0	0-3	2	6	L
26/04	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-2	2-2	4	6	D
19/04	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
11/04	Tauro FC Panama LPF	0-0	0-4	5	7	L
06/04	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
31/03	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	1-0	2-0	6	9	W
22/03	CD Universitario Panama LPF	0-0	1-0	4	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tauro FC vs CD Arabe Unido?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tauro FC win (35%). Probabilities: Tauro FC 35%, draw 31%, CD Arabe Unido 34%.

How many goals are expected in Tauro FC vs CD Arabe Unido?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Tauro FC 1.3 · CD Arabe Unido 1.27), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Tauro FC vs CD Arabe Unido?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.