Football · Panama LPF · 30/08, 01:15

Prediction: CD Universitario vs CD Arabe Unido

Team pages: CD Universitario · CD Arabe Unido

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.22Total

CD Universitario1.06

CD Arabe Unido1.16

1X2

32% 31% 37%

CD Universitario Draw CD Arabe Unido

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Universitario 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLLLLDDW

CD Arabe Unido 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WLDDLDLDWW

Head-to-head

CD Universitario 2–2–2 CD Arabe Unido (6 last)

CD Arabe Unido1-0CD Universitario
CD Arabe Unido0-1CD Universitario
CD Universitario0-0CD Arabe Unido
CD Universitario0-1CD Arabe Unido
CD Universitario0-0CD Arabe Unido
CD Arabe Unido0-2CD Universitario

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Universitario 1477 · CD Arabe Unido 1493

	CD Universitario	Draw	CD Arabe Unido
Our model	32%	32%	37%
Market	33%	30%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 12.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Universitario	CD Arabe Unido
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.6	0.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.4	2.2 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.2 / 0.1	5.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.00

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.05

2 (0)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.95

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Pinn 2.85
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.40 → 2.40	Pinn 2.59 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
07:05 +8’	2.75	3.00	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:24	2.85	2.82	2.59

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Universitario 2–2–2 CD Arabe Unido

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Panama LPF	CD Arabe Unido	1-0 HT 0-0	CD Universitario
05/10/25 Panama LPF	CD Arabe Unido	0-1 HT 0-0	CD Universitario
23/02/25 Panama LPF	CD Universitario	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Arabe Unido
10/11/24 Panama LPF	CD Universitario	0-1 HT 0-0	CD Arabe Unido
15/09/24 Panama LPF	CD Universitario	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Arabe Unido
17/03/24 Panama LPF	CD Arabe Unido	0-2 HT 0-1	CD Universitario

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, West

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	San Francisco FC	5	3	1	1	11	8	10
2	Veraguas CD	5	2	3	0	9	7	9
3	CA Independiente de la Chorrera	5	1	3	1	7	5	6
4	CD Universitario	5	1	2	2	6	7	5
5	Herrera FC	5	1	2	2	4	6	5
6	Union Cocle	5	1	1	3	3	7	4

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Universitario

WWLLLLLDDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Herrera FC Panama LPF	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
16/08	Union Cocle Panama LPF	0-0	1-1	8	7	D
11/08	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	2-0	2-2	5	6	D
03/08	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	1-0	1-2	6	8	L
26/07	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	0-2	1-2	4	5	L
02/05	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	2-4	2-5	9	8	L
26/04	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	0-1	2-3	4	6	L
19/04	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
13/04	Union Cocle Panama LPF	1-0	2-0	2	9	W
07/04	Herrera FC Panama LPF	2-0	2-0	7	2	W

CD Arabe Unido

WLDDLDLDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	1-0	1-0	0	6	W
18/08	Tauro FC Panama LPF	1-0	1-0	4	8	W
09/08	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	7	8	D
01/08	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
25/07	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	2-0	2-2	1	6	D
03/05	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	0-0	0-3	2	6	L
26/04	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-2	2-2	4	6	D
19/04	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
11/04	Tauro FC Panama LPF	0-0	0-4	5	7	L
06/04	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	0-0	1-0	5	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Universitario vs CD Arabe Unido?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Arabe Unido win (37%). Probabilities: CD Universitario 32%, draw 31%, CD Arabe Unido 37%.

How many goals are expected in CD Universitario vs CD Arabe Unido?

The model expects 2.22 goals (CD Universitario 1.06 · CD Arabe Unido 1.16), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Universitario vs CD Arabe Unido?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.