Football · Panama LPF · 30/08, 23:00

Prediction: Union Cocle vs Alianza FC Panama

Team pages: Union Cocle · Alianza FC Panama

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.04Total
Union Cocle0.98
Alianza FC Panama1.06
1X2
32% 31% 36%
Union Cocle Draw Alianza FC Panama
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Union Cocle 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LWDWDLWLDL
Alianza FC Panama 3-6-1 (W-D-L)
WDDDDDWDLW
Head-to-head
Union Cocle 0–1–0 Alianza FC Panama (1 last)
  • Union Cocle0-0Alianza FC Panama
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Union Cocle 1480 · Alianza FC Panama 1494
Union CocleDrawAlianza FC Panama
Our model31%33%36%
Market33%30%37%
Estimated total (ours) 2.04 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Union CocleAlianza FC Panama
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.11.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 41.5 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.9 / 0.23.8 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Cocle 010 Alianza FC Panama

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/03/26
Panama LPF
Union Cocle0-0
HT 0-0
Alianza FC Panama

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, West

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 San Francisco FC 5311 11810
2 Veraguas CD 5230 979
3 CA Independiente de la Chorrera 5131 756
4 CD Universitario 5122 675
5 Herrera FC 5122 465
6 Union Cocle 5113 374

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUnion CocleAlianza FC Panama
CA Independiente de la Chorrera 0-3 L 2-2 D
Veraguas CD 0-1 L 1-1 D
UMECIT 1-1 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 2 L 0 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Alianza FC Panama (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Union Cocle

LWDWDLWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 CA Independiente de la Chorrera
Panama LPF
0-1 0-3 15 L
16/08 CD Universitario
Panama LPF
0-0 1-1 27 D
09/08 Veraguas CD
Panama LPF
0-0 0-1 85 L
02/08 San Francisco FC
Panama LPF
2-1 2-1 23 W
26/07 Herrera FC
Panama LPF
0-1 0-1 210 L
06/05 UMECIT
Panama LPF
0-0 1-1 34 D
02/05 Herrera FC
Panama LPF
2-0 4-0 67 W
26/04 Veraguas CD
Panama LPF
0-1 1-1 67 D
19/04 San Francisco FC
Panama LPF
1-0 1-0 34 W
13/04 CD Universitario
Panama LPF
0-1 0-2 79 L

Alianza FC Panama

WDDDDDWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/08 Tauro FC
Panama LPF
1-0 2-0 36 W
17/08 Plaza Amador
Panama LPF
1-3 2-4 56 L
10/08 Sporting San Miguelito
Panama LPF
0-0 0-0 14 D
01/08 CD Arabe Unido
Panama LPF
1-0 1-0 35 W
26/07 UMECIT
Panama LPF
0-0 0-0 11 D
24/05 Plaza Amador
Panama LPF
1-1 2-2 76 D
17/05 Veraguas CD
Panama LPF
0-0 1-1 22 D
10/05 Veraguas CD
Panama LPF
0-0 0-0 44 D
06/05 CA Independiente de la Chorrera
Panama LPF
1-0 2-2 75 D
03/05 Sporting San Miguelito
Panama LPF
1-1 3-2 50 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Union Cocle vs Alianza FC Panama?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Alianza FC Panama win (36%). Probabilities: Union Cocle 32%, draw 31%, Alianza FC Panama 36%.

How many goals are expected in Union Cocle vs Alianza FC Panama?

The model expects 2.04 goals (Union Cocle 0.98 · Alianza FC Panama 1.06), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Union Cocle vs Alianza FC Panama?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.