Football · Finland Kolmonen · 09/07, 18:00

Prediction: RoPo vs Hercules II

Expected goals: 3.94 (RoPo 2.82 · Hercules II 1.12). The model gives 72% home, 16% draw, 12% away. Under 4.25 goals (56%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 2-1.

On recent form, RoPo is 4-4-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Hercules II 4-1-5 over its own. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for RoPo and 2 for Hercules II.

72%1
72% 16% 12%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RoPo 1536 · Hercules II 1477
RoPoDrawHercules II
Our model72%16%12%
Market72%16%12%
Estimated total (ours) 3.94 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.94RoPo 2.82 · Hercules II 1.12
Over / Under 4.25Under 4.25 · 56%
BTTSYes · 57%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RoPo (rating 1536 vs 1477).
  • H2H favours Hercules II: 2-0-0.
  • High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

RoPoHercules II
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 1.41 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)1.6 / 10.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%43/14/43%
Corners (HT / FT)4.3 / 91.7 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.7 / 03.3 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · RoPo 002 Hercules II

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/08/18
Finland Kolmonen
RoPo0-1Hercules II
25/08/18
Finland Kolmonen
RoPo0-1
HT 0-0
Hercules II

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, North Group

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Kajha 8503 271115
2 HauPa 8422 231014
3 KePS 8422 241314
4 RoPo 6411 16413
5 Ajax Sarkkiranta 7412 121213
6 KaPa Kajaani 8314 281110
7 Villan Pojat 7232 10129
8 Hercules-J 7214 9197
9 Santa Claus 7133 6196
10 PonPa 8026 7512

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RoPo

DDDDLLWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/06 Kajha
Finland Kolmonen
3-1 W
04/06 Santa Claus
Finland Kolmonen
5-0 6-0 90 W
23/05 KePS
Finland Kolmonen
3-0 W
16/05 HauPa
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-0 W
09/05 Ajax Sarkkiranta
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 L
29/04 KPV
Finland Cup
0-2 0-4 41 L
25/04 KaPa Kajaani
Finland Kolmonen
2-2 D
18/04 KaPa Kajaani
Finland Cup
0-1 2-2 D
26/03 KePS
Finland Cup
2-2 3-3 144 D
27/09 PonPa
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 D

Hercules II

WWLDLWLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/05 Atletico Saguntino
Spain Tercera Group 6
0-1 0-3 30 L
02/05 UD Castellonense
Spain Tercera Group 6
1-2 1-4 31 L
26/04 Ontinyent
Spain Tercera Group 6
1-0 W
18/04 Villarreal C
Spain Tercera Group 6
0-3 0-4 32 L
15/04 Soneja
Spain Tercera Group 6
1-0 2-1 W
12/04 La Nucia
Spain Tercera Group 6
0-1 L
04/04 Crevillente
Spain Tercera Group 6
1-0 1-1 24 D
25/03 CD Roda
Spain Tercera Group 6
0-0 0-1 28 L
21/03 CD Bunol
Spain Tercera Group 6
1-0 3-1 76 W
15/03 Utiel
Spain Tercera Group 6
2-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RoPo vs Hercules II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a RoPo win (72%). Probabilities: RoPo 72%, draw 16%, Hercules II 12%.

How many goals are expected in RoPo vs Hercules II?

The model expects 3.94 goals (RoPo 2.82 · Hercules II 1.12), with a 56% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in RoPo vs Hercules II?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.