Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 17/10, 15:30

Prediction: FK Horovicko vs FK Komarov

Team pages: FK Horovicko · FK Komarov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

FK Horovicko1.54

FK Komarov1.45

1X2

39% 25% 35%

FK Horovicko Draw FK Komarov

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Horovicko 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWWLWDWL

FK Komarov 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

WDDWWWDDWW

Head-to-head

FK Horovicko 2–1–3 FK Komarov (6 last)

FK Komarov1-1FK Horovicko
FK Horovicko0-1FK Komarov
FK Horovicko2-4FK Komarov
FK Komarov2-0FK Horovicko
FK Horovicko1-0FK Komarov
FK Horovicko1-0FK Komarov

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Horovicko 1519 · FK Komarov 1549

	FK Horovicko	Draw	FK Komarov
Our model	39%	27%	35%
Market	40%	24%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Komarov: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Horovicko	FK Komarov
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.2	2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	1.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.3	2.5 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	4.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.75

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
03:07 +6’	2.25	3.75	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Horovicko 2–1–3 FK Komarov

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Komarov	1-1 HT 0-0	FK Horovicko
04/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Horovicko	0-1 HT 0-1	FK Komarov
26/04/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Horovicko	2-4 HT 1-1	FK Komarov
28/09/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Komarov	2-0 HT 1-0	FK Horovicko
31/07/24 Czechia Cup	FK Horovicko	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Komarov
23/03/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Horovicko	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Komarov

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	10	9	0	1	35	12	27
2	Kravare	10	8	1	1	27	12	25
3	FC Vratimov	10	7	0	3	20	14	21
4	Hlucin	10	6	1	3	20	15	19
5	SK Stonava	10	5	2	3	21	16	17
6	Opava B	10	5	1	4	22	19	16
7	Jiskra Rymarov	10	4	2	4	22	18	14
8	TJ Novy Jicin	10	4	2	4	18	21	14
9	TJ Valasske Mezirici	10	3	4	3	22	18	13
10	SK Zabreh	10	3	3	4	12	13	12
11	Pusta Polom	10	3	2	5	15	20	11
12	Bridlicna	10	3	1	6	14	22	10
13	FK Sumperk	10	2	3	5	14	17	9
14	Frydek Mistek B	10	3	0	7	17	23	9
15	SSK Bilovec	10	2	2	6	7	19	8
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	10	1	0	9	11	38	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Horovicko	FK Komarov
FC Rokycany	1-2 L	1-0 W
SK Strakonice	2-1 W	4-4 D
Spartak Pribram	1-1 D	1-1 D
FK Okula Nyrsko	3-1 W	2-0 W
FC Krimice	0-1 L	2-1 W
SK Senco Doubravka	3-0 W	1-0 W
FC Milevsko	1-0 W	0-0 D
FC Taborsko B	1-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 4 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Horovicko

DWLWWLWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	FC Rokycany Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
03/10	SK Strakonice Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	Spartak Pribram Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
19/09	FK Okula Nyrsko Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	9	3	W
11/09	FC Krimice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
05/09	SK Senco Doubravka Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
30/08	FC Milevsko Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
22/08	FC Taborsko B Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	1	2	L
14/08	Spartak Sobeslav Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
08/08	TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	2-2	10	8	D

FK Komarov

WDDWWWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Slavoj Cesky Krumlov Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	7	7	W
26/09	FC Rokycany Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
18/09	SK Strakonice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	4-4	3	5	D
12/09	Spartak Pribram Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	FK Okula Nyrsko Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-0	7	6	W
02/09	SK Senco Doubravka Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
29/08	FC Krimice Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-1	5	4	W
16/08	FC Milevsko Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
08/08	FC Taborsko B Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
13/06	FC Milevsko Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	5-3	2	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Horovicko vs FK Komarov?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Horovicko win (39%). Probabilities: FK Horovicko 39%, draw 25%, FK Komarov 35%.

How many goals are expected in FK Horovicko vs FK Komarov?

The model expects 2.99 goals (FK Horovicko 1.54 · FK Komarov 1.45), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Horovicko vs FK Komarov?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.