Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 17/10, 10:15

Prediction: FK Brandys nad Labem vs Banik Sokolov

Team pages: FK Brandys nad Labem · Banik Sokolov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.77Total

FK Brandys nad Labem1.71

Banik Sokolov2.06

1X2

32% 23% 45%

FK Brandys nad Labem Draw Banik Sokolov

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Brandys nad Labem 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Banik Sokolov 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Brandys nad Labem 1510 · Banik Sokolov 1510

	FK Brandys nad Labem	Draw	Banik Sokolov
Our model	32%	23%	45%
Market	31%	24%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.77 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Brandys nad Labem	Banik Sokolov
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 2.6	1.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 1.4	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.1	1.2 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	5.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.80

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
03:45 +22’	2.88	3.80	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	10	9	0	1	35	12	27
2	Kravare	10	8	1	1	27	12	25
3	FC Vratimov	10	7	0	3	20	14	21
4	Hlucin	10	6	1	3	20	15	19
5	SK Stonava	10	5	2	3	21	16	17
6	Opava B	10	5	1	4	22	19	16
7	Jiskra Rymarov	10	4	2	4	22	18	14
8	TJ Novy Jicin	10	4	2	4	18	21	14
9	TJ Valasske Mezirici	10	3	4	3	22	18	13
10	SK Zabreh	10	3	3	4	12	13	12
11	Pusta Polom	10	3	2	5	15	20	11
12	Bridlicna	10	3	1	6	14	22	10
13	FK Sumperk	10	2	3	5	14	17	9
14	Frydek Mistek B	10	3	0	7	17	23	9
15	SSK Bilovec	10	2	2	6	7	19	8
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	10	1	0	9	11	38	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Brandys nad Labem	Banik Sokolov
FK Ostrov	3-2 W	1-2 L
FK Usti nad Labem B	4-2 W	6-0 W
Sokol Hostoun	2-4 L	2-1 W
FC Tempo Prague	1-2 L	1-4 L
Hvezda Cheb	3-4 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Banik Sokolov (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Brandys nad Labem

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	SK Rapid Psary Czechia 4. Liga	1-4	1-5	–	–	L
03/10	Slavoj Vysehrad Czechia 4. Liga	4-1	5-2	2	2	W
26/09	Slovan Velvary Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
23/09	FK Ostrov Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	3-2	4	8	W
19/09	SK Ujezd Praha 4 Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	9	4	L
12/09	FK Usti nad Labem B Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	4-2	11	5	W
06/09	Sokol Hostoun Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	2-4	3	3	L
29/08	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
15/08	Slavia Karlovy Vary Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	4-3	3	6	W
08/08	Hvezda Cheb Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-4	–	–	L

Banik Sokolov

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Sokol Hostoun Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
03/10	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-4	3	5	L
26/09	FK Ostrov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	5	6	L
23/09	Meteor Prague VIII Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	0	5	W
18/09	FC Karlovy Vary Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
12/09	Hvezda Cheb Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-1	4	7	W
05/09	SK Slany Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-1	3	3	W
30/08	SK Steti Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	3-1	–	–	W
15/08	Chomutov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	10	L
08/08	FK Usti nad Labem B Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	6-0	2	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Brandys nad Labem vs Banik Sokolov?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Banik Sokolov win (45%). Probabilities: FK Brandys nad Labem 32%, draw 23%, Banik Sokolov 45%.

How many goals are expected in FK Brandys nad Labem vs Banik Sokolov?

The model expects 3.77 goals (FK Brandys nad Labem 1.71 · Banik Sokolov 2.06), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Brandys nad Labem vs Banik Sokolov?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.