Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 17/10, 10:15

Prediction: SK Ujezd Praha 4 vs SK Rapid Psary

Team pages: SK Ujezd Praha 4 · SK Rapid Psary

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

SK Ujezd Praha 41.77

SK Rapid Psary1.45

1X2

45% 24% 31%

SK Ujezd Praha 4 Draw SK Rapid Psary

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Ujezd Praha 4 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWWLWDWW

SK Rapid Psary 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLWWDW

Head-to-head

SK Ujezd Praha 4 1–1–0 SK Rapid Psary (2 last)

SK Ujezd Praha 41-1SK Rapid Psary
SK Rapid Psary4-5SK Ujezd Praha 4

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Ujezd Praha 4 1548 · SK Rapid Psary 1552

	SK Ujezd Praha 4	Draw	SK Rapid Psary
Our model	44%	25%	31%
Market	45%	24%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Ujezd Praha 4	SK Rapid Psary
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.6	2.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1	1.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.6	3.4 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.4	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.80

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
04:04 +2’	2.00	3.80	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Ujezd Praha 4 1–1–0 SK Rapid Psary

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Ujezd Praha 4	1-1 HT 1-0	SK Rapid Psary
11/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Rapid Psary	4-5 HT 2-2	SK Ujezd Praha 4

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	10	9	0	1	35	12	27
2	Kravare	10	8	1	1	27	12	25
3	FC Vratimov	10	7	0	3	20	14	21
4	Hlucin	10	6	1	3	20	15	19
5	SK Stonava	10	5	2	3	21	16	17
6	Opava B	10	5	1	4	22	19	16
7	Jiskra Rymarov	10	4	2	4	22	18	14
8	TJ Novy Jicin	10	4	2	4	18	21	14
9	TJ Valasske Mezirici	10	3	4	3	22	18	13
10	SK Zabreh	10	3	3	4	12	13	12
11	Pusta Polom	10	3	2	5	15	20	11
12	Bridlicna	10	3	1	6	14	22	10
13	FK Sumperk	10	2	3	5	14	17	9
14	Frydek Mistek B	10	3	0	7	17	23	9
15	SSK Bilovec	10	2	2	6	7	19	8
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	10	1	0	9	11	38	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Ujezd Praha 4	SK Rapid Psary
FK Brandys nad Labem	2-1 W	5-1 W
Sokol Hostoun	0-2 L	1-1 D
FC Tempo Prague	2-1 W	3-2 W
FK Ostrov	3-2 W	3-1 W
Hvezda Cheb	4-0 W	5-1 W
SK Slany	2-2 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: SK Rapid Psary (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Ujezd Praha 4

DWLWWLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Slavoj Vysehrad Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	4-2	6	5	W
03/10	Slovan Velvary Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-1	2	9	W
26/09	FK Usti nad Labem B Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	9	10	D
19/09	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	5	4	W
12/09	Sokol Hostoun Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
05/09	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	2	1	W
29/08	FK Ostrov Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	3-2	6	11	W
22/08	Slavia Karlovy Vary Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-4	4	4	L
15/08	Hvezda Cheb Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
08/08	SK Slany Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-2	2	7	D

SK Rapid Psary

LWLWWLWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	4-1	5-1	–	–	W
04/10	Sokol Hostoun Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
26/09	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-2	–	–	W
19/09	FK Ostrov Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	3-1	–	–	W
12/09	FC Karlovy Vary Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
05/09	Hvezda Cheb Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	5-1	–	–	W
29/08	SK Slany Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	11	3	W
22/08	SK Steti Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
15/08	Meteor Prague VIII Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	9	5	W
07/08	Chomutov Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-2	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Ujezd Praha 4 vs SK Rapid Psary?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Ujezd Praha 4 win (45%). Probabilities: SK Ujezd Praha 4 45%, draw 24%, SK Rapid Psary 31%.

How many goals are expected in SK Ujezd Praha 4 vs SK Rapid Psary?

The model expects 3.22 goals (SK Ujezd Praha 4 1.77 · SK Rapid Psary 1.45), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Ujezd Praha 4 vs SK Rapid Psary?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.