Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 17/10, 14:00

Prediction: FK Ostrov vs SK Steti

Team pages: FK Ostrov · SK Steti

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.4Total

FK Ostrov1.81

SK Steti1.58

1X2

43% 24% 33%

FK Ostrov Draw SK Steti

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Ostrov 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWDLLWWL

SK Steti 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLLDWWDD

Head-to-head

FK Ostrov 1–5 SK Steti (6 last)

SK Steti3-1FK Ostrov
FK Ostrov1-2SK Steti
SK Steti2-1FK Ostrov
FK Ostrov1-2SK Steti
SK Steti0-2FK Ostrov
FK Ostrov1-3SK Steti

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Ostrov 1450 · SK Steti 1501

	FK Ostrov	Draw	SK Steti
Our model	43%	24%	33%
Market	43%	24%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.4 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Steti (rating 1450 vs 1501).
H2H favours SK Steti: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Ostrov	SK Steti
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.6	1.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.2	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.3	2.8 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.3	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.75

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:01 +8’	2.10	3.75	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Ostrov 1–0–5 SK Steti

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Steti	3-1 HT 2-0	FK Ostrov
08/11/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Ostrov	1-2 HT 0-1	SK Steti
18/04/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Steti	2-1 HT 1-0	FK Ostrov
21/09/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Ostrov	1-2 HT 0-1	SK Steti
15/06/24 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Steti	0-2 HT 0-0	FK Ostrov
05/08/23 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Ostrov	1-3 HT 1-1	SK Steti

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	10	9	0	1	35	12	27
2	Kravare	10	8	1	1	27	12	25
3	FC Vratimov	10	7	0	3	20	14	21
4	Hlucin	10	6	1	3	20	15	19
5	SK Stonava	10	5	2	3	21	16	17
6	Opava B	10	5	1	4	22	19	16
7	Jiskra Rymarov	10	4	2	4	22	18	14
8	TJ Novy Jicin	10	4	2	4	18	21	14
9	TJ Valasske Mezirici	10	3	4	3	22	18	13
10	SK Zabreh	10	3	3	4	12	13	12
11	Pusta Polom	10	3	2	5	15	20	11
12	Bridlicna	10	3	1	6	14	22	10
13	FK Sumperk	10	2	3	5	14	17	9
14	Frydek Mistek B	10	3	0	7	17	23	9
15	SSK Bilovec	10	2	2	6	7	19	8
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	10	1	0	9	11	38	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Ostrov	SK Steti
Meteor Prague VIII	0-3 L	2-2 D
Chomutov	2-1 W	1-2 L
Banik Sokolov	2-1 W	1-3 L
SK Rapid Psary	1-3 L	1-0 W
Slavoj Vysehrad	2-2 D	1-3 L
Slovan Velvary	3-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FK Ostrov (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Ostrov

LLLWDLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Meteor Prague VIII Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	0	3	L
03/10	Chomutov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	Banik Sokolov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	2	6	W
23/09	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	2-3	6	8	L
19/09	SK Rapid Psary Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	1-3	–	–	L
12/09	Slavoj Vysehrad Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	1	8	D
06/09	Slovan Velvary Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-1	4	2	W
29/08	SK Ujezd Praha 4 Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-3	4	11	L
16/08	Sokol Hostoun Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-6	1	2	L
08/08	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-3	8	4	L

SK Steti

LLWLLDWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Slavia Karlovy Vary Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
03/10	Hvezda Cheb Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
26/09	SK Slany Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
19/09	FK Usti nad Labem B Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
13/09	Meteor Prague VIII Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-2	4	3	D
05/09	Chomutov Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-2	3	6	L
30/08	Banik Sokolov Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	1-3	–	–	L
22/08	SK Rapid Psary Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	7	2	W
15/08	Slavoj Vysehrad Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
08/08	Slovan Velvary Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-2	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Ostrov vs SK Steti?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Ostrov win (43%). Probabilities: FK Ostrov 43%, draw 24%, SK Steti 33%.

How many goals are expected in FK Ostrov vs SK Steti?

The model expects 3.4 goals (FK Ostrov 1.81 · SK Steti 1.58), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Ostrov vs SK Steti?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.