Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 18/10, 15:30

Prediction: Sokol Hostoun vs Chomutov

Team pages: Sokol Hostoun · Chomutov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

Sokol Hostoun1.81

Chomutov1.41

1X2

46% 25% 29%

Sokol Hostoun Draw Chomutov

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Sokol Hostoun 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWWDL

Chomutov 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Sokol Hostoun 2–1–0 Chomutov (3 last)

Sokol Hostoun0-0Chomutov
Chomutov0-2Sokol Hostoun
Sokol Hostoun4-1Chomutov

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sokol Hostoun: 2-1-0.
High corners: 13 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sokol Hostoun	Chomutov
Goals for / against (FT)	2.9 / 1.1	2.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.9	3.9 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.83

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:14

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.66 → 1.66	Pinn 1.66
X	3.66 → 3.66	Pinn 3.66
2	3.98 → 3.98	Pinn 3.98

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
04:42 +33’	1.66	3.66	3.98

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sokol Hostoun 2–1–0 Chomutov

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Sokol Hostoun	0-0 HT 0-0	Chomutov
20/09/24 Czechia 3. Liga	Chomutov	0-2 HT 0-2	Sokol Hostoun
25/04/18 Czechia 4. Liga	Sokol Hostoun	4-1 HT 3-0	Chomutov

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	11	9	0	2	36	14	27
2	Kravare	11	8	2	1	27	12	26
3	FC Vratimov	11	8	0	3	24	17	24
4	Hlucin	11	6	2	3	20	15	20
5	Opava B	11	6	1	4	26	20	19
6	Jiskra Rymarov	11	5	2	4	27	18	17
7	SK Stonava	11	5	2	4	21	18	17
8	TJ Valasske Mezirici	11	4	4	3	24	19	16
9	SK Zabreh	11	4	3	4	14	13	15
10	TJ Novy Jicin	10	4	2	4	18	21	14
11	Pusta Polom	11	3	2	6	18	24	11
12	Bridlicna	10	3	1	6	14	22	10
13	FK Sumperk	10	2	3	5	14	17	9
14	Frydek Mistek B	10	3	0	7	17	23	9
15	SSK Bilovec	11	2	2	7	7	24	8
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	11	1	0	10	12	42	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sokol Hostoun	Chomutov
Banik Sokolov	1-2 L	1-0 W
SK Rapid Psary	1-1 D	2-1 W
FK Usti nad Labem B	4-0 W	5-0 W
FC Tempo Prague	2-1 W	2-2 D
FK Ostrov	6-0 W	1-2 L
Slavia Karlovy Vary	2-3 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Chomutov (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sokol Hostoun

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Banik Sokolov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
04/10	SK Rapid Psary Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
25/09	Slavoj Vysehrad Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	8	6	W
20/09	Slovan Velvary Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	5-1	10	4	W
12/09	SK Ujezd Praha 4 Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	2	5	W
06/09	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	4-2	7	3	W
29/08	FK Usti nad Labem B Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-0	10	2	W
22/08	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	6	7	W
16/08	FK Ostrov Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	6-0	8	2	W
07/08	Slavia Karlovy Vary Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-3	7	7	L

Chomutov

WWWWWLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
03/10	FK Ostrov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
25/09	Slavia Karlovy Vary Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
19/09	Hvezda Cheb Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	10	5	W
12/09	SK Slany Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	11	4	L
05/09	SK Steti Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-1	5	6	W
29/08	Meteor Prague VIII Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	4-0	7	0	W
21/08	FK Usti nad Labem B Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	5-0	5	4	W
15/08	Banik Sokolov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	10	W
07/08	SK Rapid Psary Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-1	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sokol Hostoun vs Chomutov?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sokol Hostoun win (46%). Probabilities: Sokol Hostoun 46%, draw 25%, Chomutov 29%.

How many goals are expected in Sokol Hostoun vs Chomutov?

The model expects 3.22 goals (Sokol Hostoun 1.81 · Chomutov 1.41), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sokol Hostoun vs Chomutov?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.